Miami vs Rhode Island: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Miami - Rhode Island
Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)
Miami - Rhode Island - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.01
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (433/497)76% (224/294)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.30
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
87% (433/497)76% (224/294)
Long passes
50% (28/56)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
67% (66/99)62% (78/126)
Crosses
29% (4/14)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.69
Throw-ins
1319
Fouls
1314
Tackles
50% (6/12)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
3426
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.300.04
Goals prevented
0.300.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 54', Mitrano A. , Mercado Carrizo D. A. ,
  • 63', Melano L. , Gavilanes A. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Kwizera J. (Pen),
  • 69', Herivaux Z. , Atkinson D. ,
  • 69', Brito J. , Dikwa A. ,
  • 74', Vazquez C. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 74', Blanco S. , Bent B. ,
  • 75', Kwizera J. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 75', Nodarse F. , Diop H. ,
  • 82', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
  • 86', Knutson D. 🟨,
  • 87', Ybarra M. , Stoneman G. ,
  • 90', Tulu 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
34%
Draw
27.6%
Rhode Island
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 27% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 26.9% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.
  • Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rhode Island might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rhode Island could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami - Rhode Island Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (3.27)
    3.37
    (3.42)
    2.43
    (2.07)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rhode Island has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
    • Rhode Island is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1.3:3.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Rhode Island were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1
    26.10.2024 Rhode Island - Miami 8:1
    13.07.2024 Miami - Rhode Island 2:3
    Latest results of Miami
    13.09.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Miami 0:0
    06.09.2025 Miami - Hartford Athletic 0:1
    30.08.2025 Loudoun United - Miami 3:1
    23.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 3:2
    16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4
    Latest results of Rhode Island
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 26196152:193363
    2Charleston ✔ 25173552:272554
    3North Carolina25124938:34440
    4Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    5Loudoun25115941:42-138
    6Pittsburgh2597925:24134
    7Indy Eleven26951240:45-532
    8Detroit26881029:32-332
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay25751333:40-726
    11Birmingham254101131:44-1322
    12Miami FC26561522:40-1821


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa26138541:291247
    2Sacramento Republic24118537:191841
    3New Mexico251141034:33137
    4San Antonio24106834:31336
    5Lexington2598827:30-335
    6El Paso2589839:37233
    7Phoenix Rising25711742:44-232
    8Colorado Springs26871133:39-631
    9Orange County SC23851035:37-229
    10Oakland Roots24751229:38-926
    11Monterey Bay26671325:37-1225
    12Las Vegas Lights25671219:42-2325

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - Rhode Island?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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