Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : USL Championship
- Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (272/336) | 86% (401/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (272/336) | 86% (401/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 60% (44/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (65/95) | 65% (72/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Conway E. ⚽, Al Qaq A. (A),
- 35', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gavilanes A. ↓, Naranjo A. ↑,
- 61', Veron D. ↓, Blanco S. ↑,
- 69', Conway E. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
- 71', Vazquez C. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
- 75', Perez L. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 75', Forbes J. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
- 76', Pedro Becker ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
- 78', Melano L. 🟨,
- 85', Tulu ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
- 85', Naranjo A. 🟨,
- 87', Sommersall R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
47.3% | Draw
25.8% | Miami
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Carolina - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.69) |
3.63 ↓
(4.07) |
3.49 ↓
(4.22) |
6.6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for North Carolina - Miami?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
- North Carolina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Miami has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Miami?
North Carolina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against North Carolina?
Miami has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Miami were as follows:
19.04.2025
Miami
-
North Carolina
2:1
06.07.2024
North Carolina
-
Miami
4:1
25.05.2024
Miami
-
North Carolina
0:4
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 52:19 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Loudoun | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 41:42 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 34 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:45 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Detroit | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Lexington | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 | El Paso | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39:37 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 45:47 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:39 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina - Miami?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
