Miami vs North Carolina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Miami - North Carolina
Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
Miami - North Carolina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.58
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
75% (310/416)80% (376/472)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.37
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
723
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
715
Passes
75% (310/416)80% (376/472)
Long passes
28% (20/71)52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
54% (38/71)63% (65/104)
Crosses
40% (2/5)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.57
Fouls
157
Tackles
93% (14/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3951
Clearances Total
449
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.371.31
Goals prevented
0.37-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ,
  • 25', Hodge T. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Knutson D. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 29', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Craig P. , Maldonado M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Blanco S. , Melano L. ,
  • 65', Bent B. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 65', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Cardona N. ,
  • 68', Servania J. , Burner P. ,
  • 68', Sommersall R. , Pedro Becker ,
  • 69', Veron D. , Diaz G. ,
  • 74', Da Costa R. , Perez L. ,
  • 80', Gavilanes A. , Zarate T. ,
  • 82', Zarate T. 🟨,
  • 85', Craig P. , Al Qaq A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
22.7%
Draw
26.5%
North Carolina
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 22.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 21.3% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Carolina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.09
    (5.12)
    3.5
    (4.19)
    1.82
    (1.55)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Miami won 1.
    • Recent matches Miami is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • North Carolina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently North Carolina have a series of guest games.
    • In this match North Carolina is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - North Carolina were as follows:
    06.07.2024 North Carolina - Miami 4:1
    25.05.2024 Miami - North Carolina 0:4
    Latest results of Miami
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    12.04.2025 San Antonio - Miami 1:2
    01.04.2025 Inter Miami II - Miami 0:1
    29.03.2025 Miami - New Mexico United 0:1
    22.03.2025 Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    Latest results of North Carolina
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City20145142:172547
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3Loudoun2094731:29231
    4North Carolina1993729:26330
    5Pittsburgh2076719:18127
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1965826:23323
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1955929:35-620
    10Miami FC20551019:31-1220
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay19531122:29-718


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa20116336:231339
    2Sacramento Republic1987429:161331
    3San Antonio1984725:26-128
    4El Paso1977532:27528
    5Orange County SC1883728:24427
    6New Mexico1882826:28-226
    7Phoenix Rising2067731:36-525
    8Lexington2067721:26-525
    9Colorado Springs1966724:25-124
    10Monterey Bay21651023:29-623
    11Oakland Roots19631023:30-721
    12Las Vegas Lights20551016:37-2120

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - North Carolina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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