Monterey Bay vs Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Monterey Bay - Miami
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Monterey Bay - Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.90
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
71% (206/289)78% (301/386)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.79
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
71% (206/289)78% (301/386)
Long passes
36% (25/69)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
56% (43/77)65% (71/110)
Crosses
11% (2/19)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.621.95
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1717
Tackles
77% (10/13)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4760
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.791.14
Goals prevented
0.790.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Paul I. , Malango M. (A),
  • 17', Paul I. 🟨,
  • 19', Zarate T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Ricketts J. 🟨,
  • 56', Paul I. , Archimede L. ,
  • 56', Gavilanes A. , Melano L. ,
  • 57', Zarate T. , Lawrence M. ,
  • 60', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 68', Guzman C. , Lara A. ,
  • 68', Larsson A. , Bryant E. ,
  • 73', Cardona N. , Veron D. ,
  • 73', Blanco S. , Vazquez C. ,
  • 77', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Rivera R. ,
  • 78', Ivanovic L. , Gallaway P. ,
  • 78', Guediri S. , Lyons M. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Vazquez C. (A),
  • 90+5', Rivera R. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
54.9%
Draw
25.8%
Miami
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 22.3% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 22.9% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.
  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Monterey Bay - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.47)
    3.59
    (4.15)
    4.77
    (6.2)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Miami?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Miami is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Monterey Bay is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Miami were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Miami - Monterey Bay 1:0
    24.06.2023 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:0
    24.09.2022 Miami - Monterey Bay 0:0
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Miami
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    12.04.2025 San Antonio - Miami 1:2
    01.04.2025 Inter Miami II - Miami 0:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston970222:101221
    2Loudoun1070319:10921
    3Louisville City954013:5819
    4North Carolina1052315:11417
    5Detroit1045114:10417
    6Rhode Island933310:9112
    7Miami FC83149:12-310
    8Pittsburgh92256:10-48
    9Indy Eleven814313:16-37
    10Birmingham914410:14-47
    11Hartford Athletic81255:12-75
    12Tampa Bay91178:17-94


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico960312:9318
    2FC Tulsa951312:7516
    3San Antonio1051414:15-116
    4El Paso1044219:15416
    5Monterey Bay1144313:10316
    6Sacramento Republic934215:10513
    7Phoenix Rising1034318:18013
    8Las Vegas Lights93336:12-612
    9Colorado Springs1025314:15-111
    10Oakland Roots1031613:19-610
    11Orange County SC931510:16-610
    12Lexington101459:17-87

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monterey Bay - Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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