Loudoun United vs Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Loudoun United - Miami
Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)
Loudoun United - Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.83
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (399/460)82% (356/435)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.570.74
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
818
Passes
87% (399/460)82% (356/435)
Long passes
59% (33/56)49% (38/78)
Passes in final third
75% (100/134)74% (79/107)
Crosses
28% (5/18)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
2.300.93
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
198
Tackles
86% (12/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
1919
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.742.57
Goals prevented
-0.260.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Romero M. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ricketts J. (Own goal),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 27', Ricketts J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Ordonez A. , Mines B. (A),
  • 56', Skundrich D. 🟨,
  • 58', Mines B. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 64', Melano L. , Zarate T. ,
  • 64', Knutson D. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 67', Santos P. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 74', Gavilanes A. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 79', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Veron D. ,
  • 80', Ordonez A. , Bidois R. ,
  • 84', Fauroux H. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Ryan Z. , Glasgow O. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
56.2%
Draw
22.7%
Miami
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 15% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loudoun United's form might have worsened.
  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loudoun United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Loudoun United - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    4.09
    (4.4)
    4.41
    (5.31)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Loudoun is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Miami were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    03.08.2024 Loudoun United - Miami 4:1
    22.06.2024 Miami - Loudoun United 2:2
    29.07.2023 Loudoun United - Miami 1:2
    17.06.2023 Miami - Loudoun United 1:2
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Miami
    23.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 3:2
    16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4
    09.08.2025 Miami - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    06.08.2025 Hartford Athletic - Miami 2:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City23166146:182854
    2Charleston23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Loudoun United - Miami?
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