Miami vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Miami - Lexington
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
Miami - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.77
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (203/274)84% (379/451)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.16
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
74% (203/274)84% (379/451)
Long passes
39% (26/67)55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
60% (41/68)62% (66/107)
Crosses
33% (2/6)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.59
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
1317
Tackles
73% (19/26)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6754
Clearances
4214
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.160.84
Goals prevented
0.16-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. , Melano L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Hamid B. , Martell R. ,
  • 52', Hafferty J. 🟨,
  • 59', Veron D. , Cardona N. ,
  • 60', Ajago F. 🟨,
  • 63', Mitrano A. , Celeste F. ,
  • 72', Zengue X. , Olney C. ,
  • 72', Midence A. , Burke C. ,
  • 73', Burks K. , Wu D. ,
  • 75', Blanco S. , Bent B. ,
  • 75', Melano L. , Lawrence M. ,
  • 85', Vazquez C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Burke C. , Sargeant K. (A),
  • 90+6', Celeste F. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
38.7%
Draw
26.6%
Lexington
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 28% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Miami - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.25)
    3.45
    (3.26)
    2.64
    (3)
    8.9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lexington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Miami
    05.07.2025 Miami - Tulsa 2:2
    28.06.2025 Greenville Triumph - Miami 2:0
    21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0
    18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0
    14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City23166146:182854
    2Charleston23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - Lexington?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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