Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : USL Championship
- Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (203/274) | 84% (379/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (203/274) | 84% (379/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 55% (31/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 62% (66/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Melano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hamid B. ↓, Martell R. ↑,
- 52', Hafferty J. 🟨,
- 59', Veron D. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
- 60', Ajago F. 🟨,
- 63', Mitrano A. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
- 72', Zengue X. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
- 72', Midence A. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
- 73', Burks K. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
- 75', Blanco S. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
- 75', Melano L. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 85', Vazquez C. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Burke C. ⚽, Sargeant K. (A),
- 90+6', Celeste F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami
38.7% | Draw
26.6% | Lexington
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Miami - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.25) |
3.45 ↑
(3.26) |
2.64 ↓
(3) |
8.9%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lexington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Lexington?
Miami has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Miami?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Lexington were as follows:
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 52:19 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Loudoun | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 41:42 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 34 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:45 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Detroit | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:19 | 18 | 41 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Lexington | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 | El Paso | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39:37 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 42:44 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - Lexington?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
