Miami vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Miami - Birmingham Legion
Result
1:2
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
Miami - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.69
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
81% (322/400)81% (333/411)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
81% (322/400)81% (333/411)
Long passes
41% (23/56)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
55% (53/96)56% (47/84)
Crosses
50% (11/22)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.18
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1614
Tackles
87% (13/15)88% (15/17)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.681.06
Goals prevented
-1.320.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Mensah M. , McCartney D. ,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. , Vazquez C. (A),
  • 45+1', Melano L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Pasher T. , McCartney D. (A),
  • 53', Vazquez C. , Gavilanes A. ,
  • 63', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Veron D. ,
  • 63', Melano L. , Lawrence M. ,
  • 67', McCartney D. , Rufe J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez-Foster K. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 70', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Damus R. ,
  • 77', Cardona N. , Celeste F. ,
  • 82', Pasher T. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 82', Damus R. , Preston T. ,
  • 85', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Van Oekel M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
33.6%
Draw
26.3%
Birmingham Legion
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 27.7% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.2% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham Legion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.42)
    3.5
    (3.33)
    2.3
    (2.72)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Birmingham Legion - Miami 1:0
    20.04.2024 Miami - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    24.09.2023 Birmingham Legion - Miami 0:2
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    03.09.2022 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    Latest results of Miami
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City16114129:121737
    2Charleston15102332:151732
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1372419:14523
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Detroit1455419:18120
    7Miami FC1351713:18-516
    8Rhode Island1443713:16-315
    9Indy Eleven1335520:24-414
    10Birmingham1535715:21-614
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1481521:15625
    2San Antonio1573522:21124
    3El Paso1565424:22223
    4FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    5Sacramento Republic1455419:12720
    6Phoenix Rising1555524:25-120
    7Monterey Bay1554616:17-119
    8Las Vegas Lights1553710:20-1018
    9Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    10Lexington1545616:22-617
    11Colorado Springs1536618:22-415
    12Oakland Roots1442814:23-914

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - Birmingham Legion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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