Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 10
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (271/338) | 77% (270/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (271/338) | 77% (270/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (63/96) | 57% (57/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Valderrey E. 🟨,
- 29', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
- 38', Zalzman D. 🟨,
- 40', Guzman S. 🟨,
- 41', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zalzman D. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
- 46', Moreno J. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
- 46', Valderrey E. ↓, Cova N. ↑,
- 57', Rodriguez A. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
- 63', Alderete E. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
- 64', Ajam Elias ↓, Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↑,
- 76', Figueroa R. ↓, Gimenez J. ↑,
- 77', Rivas C. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
- 77', Hernandez J. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
- 82', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 85', Blanco R. 🟥,
- 87', 1 - 0, Ferro A. ⚽, Ramirez J. (A),
- 88', Ferro A. 🟨,
- 90', Ramirez J. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 90+4', Pena A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Guzman S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Cova N. 🟨,
- 90+8', Garces R. 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Metropolitanos
35% | Draw
27.7% | Estudiantes de Mérida
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metropolitanos's form might have worsened.Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Mérida's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metropolitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.05) |
3.34 ↓
(3.41) |
2.49 ↓
(3.2) |
7.9%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 1.
- Metropolitanos has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Est de Mérida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitanos won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Metropolitanos won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Metropolitanos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Metropolitanos?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
05.04.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Metropolitanos
1:2
17.01.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Metropolitanos
3:2
02.09.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Metropolitanos
4:0
16.03.2024
Metropolitanos
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:1
29.07.2023
Metropolitanos
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
0:1
Latest results of Metropolitanos
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira ✔ | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27:8 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Carabobo ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira ✔ | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Monagas ✔ | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Caracas ✔ | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Zamora | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 16 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Universidad Central | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:18 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
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