Izhstal vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey VHL Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Result
2:3 penalties
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : VHL
Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:29, 1 - 0, Kovalyov A. (G), Glebov G. (A), Yakovlev P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 17:58, 1 - 1, Kodola V. (G), Shalagin M. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:01, 1 - 2, Kodola V. (G),
  • 12:32, 2 - 2, Glebov G. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)
  • 1, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Shiksatdarov I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Sheshin D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kovalyov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kruzhenkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Gorshkov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Astashevsky S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Dyuryagin D. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Izhstal
25.5%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 24% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 25.3% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.15)
    4.13
    (3.8)
    1.76
    (1.93)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Izhstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Metallurg N is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 31:58. (average 1.8:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 1:3
    12.01.2025 Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:5
    10.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 6:5
    09.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 3:2
    05.11.2023 Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1:2
    Latest results of Izhstal
    15.01.2026 Izhstal - Dynamo-Altay 5:3
    10.01.2026 Tambov - Izhstal 2:1
    08.01.2026 Rostov - Izhstal 4:2
    06.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Izhstal 0:4
    28.12.2025 Izhstal - Omskie Krylia 3:2
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 59371147212:127100
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5836868166:9094
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5834699211:12089
    4Khimik ✔ 58315715172:12079
    5Magnitka Magnitogorsk57258915168:12675
    6Ryazan58278518155:13475
    7Chelmet Chelyabinsk58285718168:15373
    8Gornyak58249718171:14073
    9Izhevsk57303618147:12672
    10Omskie Krylia57277320150:12471
    11Torpedo Gorky58239620163:13470
    12Rubin Tyumen581913620142:12970
    13Dizel58265819146:13270
    14Perm572012520135:14669
    15CSK VVS57238719154:13469
    16Krasnoyarsk591911821137:14168
    17Bars572341317122:13067
    18Toros Neftekamsk56226820130:13764
    19Zvezda Moscow57235524131:13261
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg59225626152:16060
    21Kurgan57197724131:13559
    22AKM581213726130:16357
    23SKA-VMF St. Petersburg59204827115:15156
    24Tambov58178627142:16356
    25Orsk5618392695:14851
    26Buran Voronezh60166731128:17451
    27Olympia5612892797:14849
    28Dyn. Altay591271129126:18349
    29Kristall Saratov57173631124:16446
    30HK Norilsk58145534113:16243
    31HC Rostov59134933116:17343
    32Chelny57127434128:17842

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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