Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs Barys Astana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey KHL Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana
18/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Metallurg Magnitogorsk
64%
Draw
20.3%
Barys Astana
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 17.6% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 12.3% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Magnitogorsk's form might have worsened.
  • Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Magnitogorsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.36)
    4.62
    (5.4)
    5.96
    (7.7)
    6.7%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 4.
    • In recent matches, Metallurg M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barys is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Barys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Metallurg M is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 63:37. (average 3.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 2.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 2:1
    26.02.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 4:1
    17.02.2025 Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 1:3
    29.11.2024 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 2:0
    20.11.2024 Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 2:1
    Latest results of Barys Astana
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Nizhny Novgorod5320018:1110
    2CSKA Moscow5301114:117
    3Lokomotiv Yaroslavl5211117:127
    4Shanghai4201118:145
    5SKA St. Petersburg4201117:135
    6Dinamo Minsk4201113:105
    7Sochi5111211:135
    8Spartak Moscow5111214:175
    9Cherepovets5200311:124
    10Dynamo Moscow5011312:223
    11Lada410039:192


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk5212018:138
    2Yekaterinburg4300117:106
    3Avangard Omsk4210115:116
    4Barys Astana4120114:116
    5Tractor Chelyabinsk5112114:176
    6Khabarovsk4201111:105
    7Vladivostok411117:65
    8Niznekamsk4110212:164
    9Bars Kazan4101211:173
    10Salavat Ufa401039:142
    11Novosibirsk301022:52

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