Luparense vs Mestre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Coppa Italia Serie D Luparense - Mestre
Result
0:1 penalties
08/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/32-finals
Luparense - Mestre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 74', 🟥,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Luparense
36.5%
Draw
30.4%
Mestre
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.8% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 29.8% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luparense's performance.
  • Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mestre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luparense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mestre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luparense - Mestre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.94)
    3.01
    (3.04)
    2.81
    (2.29)
    8.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mestre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luparense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luparense - Mestre were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Mestre - Luparense 1:2
    14.01.2024 Mestre - Luparense 2:0
    17.09.2023 Luparense - Mestre 1:2
    01.04.2023 Luparense - Mestre 4:1
    20.11.2022 Mestre - Luparense 0:0
    Latest results of Luparense
    Latest results of Mestre
    28.09.2025 Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre 1:0
    24.09.2025 Mestre - Este 1:1
    20.09.2025 Mestre - Conegliano 1:0
    10.08.2025 Cittadella - Mestre 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1AstiChisola2 : 0
    2LigornaNovaRomentin1 : 2
    3VadoSestri Levante3 : 0
    4TauPistoiese1 : 3
    5PratoMontevarchi2 : 1
    6CorreggeseImolese2 : 1
    7PiacenzaSCD Progresso2 : 1
    8PaviaSant'Angelo2 : 0
    9SondrioBreno1 : 0
    10Folgore CarateseClub Milano2 : 3
    11AC Milan U23Varesina
    12BrusaportoCiserano-Bergamo0 : 1
    13ChievoRovato Vertovese0 : 1
    14EsteVigasio3 : 2
    15Cjarlins MuzaneBrian Lignano1 : 2
    16LuparenseMestre0 : 1
    17OrvietanaSiena2 : 0
    18Follonica GavorranoValmontone0 : 1
    19FossombroneAncona0 : 1
    20FolignoAtletico Ascoli0 : 2
    21Notaresco CalcioTermoli2 : 0
    22AlbalongaL Aquila2 : 1
    23GrossetoUnipomezia0 : 1
    24Trastevere CalcioBudoni2 : 0
    25SavoiaPaganese2 : 1
    26Citta di FasanoGravina3 : 0
    27Martina CalcioSarnese3 : 1
    28FerrandinaFrancavilla2 : 3
    29NocerinaGelbison4 : 2
    30SambiaseReggina0 : 1
    31CastrumfavaraIgea Virtus3 : 1
    32EnnaSancataldese0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AstiNovaRomentin
    2VadoPistoiese
    3PratoCorreggese
    4PiacenzaPavia
    5SondrioClub Milano
    6TBD #11Ciserano-Bergamo
    7Rovato VertoveseEste
    8Brian LignanoMestre
    9OrvietanaValmontone
    10AnconaAtletico Ascoli
    11Notaresco CalcioAlbalonga
    12UnipomeziaTrastevere Calcio
    13SavoiaCitta di Fasano
    14Martina CalcioFrancavilla
    15NocerinaReggina
    16CastrumfavaraSancataldese

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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