Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera C Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera C - Round 10
Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
13
Total shots
410
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
17
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Moreno F. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Maimo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Anacaratti A. ,

Chances of winning


Puerto Nuevo
27.9%
Draw
29.5%
Mercedes
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 27% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercedes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercedes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.07)
    3.13
    (3)
    2.17
    (3.57)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mercedes will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
    • Recent performances by Puerto Nuevo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mercedes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Puerto Nuevo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Latest results of Mercedes
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    27.04.2025 Berazategui - Mercedes 3:1
    18.04.2025 Mercedes - Ituzaingó 1:0
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1492326:111529
    2Ituzaingo1483314:7727
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza1482417:13426
    4Berazategui1573516:13324
    5Deportivo Espanol1455411:10120
    6Leandro N. Alem1361615:12319
    7Def. de Cambaceres1461713:16-319
    8Claypole1437412:13-116
    9Lugano1444611:16-516
    10Deportivo Muniz143656:9-315
    11Mercedes1443710:16-615
    12El Porvenir1442815:20-514
    13Puerto Nuevo1441911:21-1013


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros1595123:61732
    2Club Lujan1585220:81229
    3Estrella Del Sur1576215:11427
    4Argentino de Rosario1565414:13123
    5Sportivo Barracas1557317:13422
    6Canuelas1547413:13019
    7Yupanqui1546519:17218
    8Juventud Unida S. M1453613:15-218
    9Deportivo Paraguayo1553713:20-718
    10Atlas1544720:28-816
    11Central Ballester1436511:14-315
    12Victoriano A1543813:20-715
    13General Lamadrid1535714:19-514
    14CSR Espanol1525812:20-811

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )

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