Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera C Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera C - Round 10
Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
13
Total shots
410
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
17
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Moreno F. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Maimo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Anacaratti A. ,

Chances of winning


Puerto Nuevo
27.9%
Draw
29.5%
Mercedes
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 27% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercedes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercedes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.07)
    3.13
    (3)
    2.17
    (3.57)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mercedes will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
    • Recent performances by Puerto Nuevo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mercedes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Puerto Nuevo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Latest results of Mercedes
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    27.04.2025 Berazategui - Mercedes 3:1
    18.04.2025 Mercedes - Ituzaingó 1:0
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo16103319:81133
    2Central Cordoba17102529:151432
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza17102520:15532
    4Berazategui1683519:13627
    5Deportivo Espanol1775517:12526
    6Leandro N. Alem1681719:13625
    7Claypole1757518:17122
    8Mercedes1763812:18-621
    9Def. de Cambaceres1661914:19-519
    10Lugano1754814:22-819
    11Deportivo Muniz174677:11-418
    12El Porvenir1652916:23-717
    13Puerto Nuevo17411212:30-1813


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros18116125:61939
    2Club Lujan18106225:101536
    3Estrella Del Sur1879215:11430
    4Juventud Unida S. M1884622:17528
    5Argentino de Rosario1877417:15228
    6Sportivo Barracas1867520:16425
    7Canuelas18410413:13022
    8Atlas1855823:32-920
    9Deportivo Paraguayo1855813:22-920
    10Yupanqui1846820:24-418
    11General Lamadrid1846818:23-518
    12Victoriano A1845915:23-817
    13Central Ballester1838712:20-817
    14CSR Espanol1836917:23-615

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )

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