Melbourne Victory Youth vs Hume City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian NPL Victoria Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City
Result
2:3
05/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPL Victoria - Round 12
Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1422
Shots on target
1116
Corner Kicks
27
Total shots
1422
Shots on target
1116
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
139

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Machar Reec J. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Ascroft H. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Uysal M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 3, Okane J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Kolic L. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory Youth
23.4%
Draw
23.2%
Hume City
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 23.7% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 23.1% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory Youth's form might have worsened.
  • Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hume City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hume City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.94
    (2.55)
    3.97
    (3.9)
    1.73
    (2.3)
    8.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Victory Youth will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Hume City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hume City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Victory Youth has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hume City is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:4.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    Latest results of Hume City
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Heidelberg Utd18142242:172544
    2Avondale FC18141351:213043
    3Dandenong Thunder18113440:241636
    4Oakleigh Cannons17111537:221534
    5Hume City1894530:27331
    6Preston Lions1784523:21228
    7Dandenong City1866631:29224
    8Green Gully1865725:28-323
    9Altona Magic1846815:27-1218
    10South Melbourne1744918:30-1216
    11Melbourne Victory U2118431129:40-1115
    12St Albans18351030:37-714
    13Port Melbourne Sharks18331218:43-2512
    14Melbourne Knights17311317:40-2310

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

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