Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.85
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
83% (359/435)74% (249/338)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.86
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2128
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
135
Passes
83% (359/435)74% (249/338)
Long passes
49% (26/53)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
73% (83/113)66% (89/135)
Crosses
18% (4/22)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.27
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
513
Tackles
58% (11/19)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
2634
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.860.93
Goals prevented
-1.24-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Inserra J. 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Bos K. , Arzani D. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Sapsford Z. , Borrello B. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Machach Z. , Teague R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 73', Brillante J. , Mata J. ,
  • 73', Cleur G. , Carluccio J. ,
  • 73', Sapsford Z. , Antonsson M. ,
  • 78', Inserra J. , Rawlins J. ,
  • 84', Arzani D. , Clarismario ,
  • 87', Machach Z. , Hamill B. ,
  • 87', Velupillay N. , Reec J. ,
  • 87', Vergos N. , Fornaroli B. ,
  • 89', Milanovic N. , Hammond A. ,

Chances of winning


Western Sydney Wanderers
42.6%
Draw
24.8%
Melbourne Victory
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.3% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.4)
    3.84
    (3.5)
    2.89
    (2.82)
    5.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Western Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Western Sydney: Jeong Tae-Wook (Ankle Injury) Scicluna D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Badolato A. (Loan agreement) Langerak M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 4:2
    04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2
    27.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:4
    10.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 3:4
    15.04.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 2:1
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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