Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory
Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Round 26
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.71
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
722
Shots on target
210
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
75% (235/315)75% (290/387)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.693.26
Total shots
722
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
617
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1836
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
89
Passes
75% (235/315)75% (290/387)
Long passes
41% (17/41)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)73% (109/150)
Crosses
16% (3/19)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.95
Fouls
98
Tackles
44% (8/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4258
Clearances Total
3232
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
3.261.69
Goals prevented
0.33-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Velupillay N. , Arzani D. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Piper C. , Sutton S. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Machach Z. , Velupillay N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 3, Vergos N. ,
  • 56', Sheridan M. , Kelly-Heald L. ,
  • 56', Ishige H. , Retre P. ,
  • 56', Nagasawa K. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 56', Teague R. , Piscopo R. ,
  • 57', Jackson L. 🟨,
  • 65', Arzani D. , Badolato A. ,
  • 65', Roderick , Hamill B. ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Retre P. ,
  • 78', Hamill B. 🟨,
  • 79', Ishige H. , Retre P. ,
  • 80', Vergos N. , Fornaroli B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
22%
Draw
22.4%
Melbourne Victory
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.9% 24.4% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3% 23.6% 57.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (4.75)
    4.2
    (3.86)
    1.7
    (1.69)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Wellington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Geraldes F. (Inactive) Kelly-Heald A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Clarismario (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:28 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    23.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    18.05.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 1:2
    12.05.2024 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 0:0
    12.04.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaParamount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan