Melbourne Tigers vs Ballarat Miners: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball Australian NBL1 South Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners
Result
89:77
26/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NBL1 South - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Melbourne Tigers
64.5%
Ballarat Miners
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Tigers's form might have worsened.
  • Ballarat Miners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballarat Miners's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballarat Miners than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballarat Miners, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.3)

    2.6
    (3.31)
    8.2%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ballarat (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ballarat Miners will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:83.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 3.
    • Melbourne Tigers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ballarat is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Melbourne Tigers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne Tigers is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 986:1036. (average 82.2:86.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Tigers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 493:516. (average 82.2:86).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers 78:103
    29.06.2024 Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers 87:81
    18.05.2024 Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners 80:78
    04.06.2023 Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners 106:88
    01.04.2023 Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers 92:68
    Latest results of Melbourne Tigers
    Latest results of Ballarat Miners
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Knox (1)Eltham (4)72 : 67
    4Melbourne Tigers (6)Ballarat (7)89 : 77
    5Mt Gambier (2)Kilsyth (3)97 : 61
    8Sandringham Sabres (5)Hobart Chargers (8)111 : 98

    Quarter-finals
    1Knox (1)Bye
    2Kilsyth (3)Melbourne Tigers (6)
    3Mt Gambier (2)Bye
    4Eltham (4)Sandringham Sabres (5)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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