Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters
Result
10:40
29/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 26
Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
27
Conversion Goals
16
Conversion Goal Attempts
27
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
5086
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
151196
Metres Run With Ball
11181581

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 0)
  • 22', Blore S. (Try),
  • 24', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Anderson G. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 40)
  • 46', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
  • 48', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Wong S. (Try),
  • 55', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
  • 65', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
  • 69', Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 71', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
  • 73', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Toia R. (Try),
  • 78', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Tedesco J. (Try),
  • 80', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
52.8%
Draw
4.5%
Sydney Roosters
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 3.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 4.3% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Storm's form might have worsened.
  • Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Roosters's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.47)
    20.6
    (23.67)
    2.19
    (2.85)
    8.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 5.
    • Melbourne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 452:297. (average 22.6:14.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 239:160. (average 23.9:16).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Sydney Roosters - Melbourne Storm 30:34
    27.09.2024 Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters 48:18
    20.07.2024 Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters 24:8
    18.04.2024 Sydney Roosters - Melbourne Storm 12:18
    15.09.2023 Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters 18:13
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Latest results of Sydney Roosters
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    australiaAustraliaNRL
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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