Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/08/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 22

Match Stats


Goals
15	15
Behinds
9	15
Kicks
215	225
Handballs
164	163
Disposals
379	388
Frees For
13	16
Frees Against
16	13
Clearances Completed
31	46
Marks
86	104
Tackles
52	49
Hitouts
52	30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (22 - 24)
02:16, Richards E. (Behind),
03:20, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
05:22, Naughton A. (G),
07:00, Liberatore T. (Behind),
08:42, Naughton A. (Behind),
10:38, Fritsch B. (Behind),
11:49, English T. (Behind),
14:13, Darcy S. (G),
15:56, Kennedy M. (Behind),
17:51, Melksham J. (G),
19:13, Pickett K. (Behind),
19:58, Pickett K. (Behind),
21:53, Van Rooyen J. (G),
26:01, Bramble L. (G),
27:39, Freijah J. (Behind),
28:47, Culley J. (G),
2nd Quarter (8 - 16)
03:37, Naughton A. (G),
04:46, Fritsch B. (Behind),
07:47, Vandermeer L. (Behind),
09:27, Freijah J. (Behind),
10:28, Fritsch B. (G),
12:32, McNeil L. (G),
14:42, Poulter C. (Behind),
18:51, Lobb R. (Behind),
28:36, Petty H. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (45 - 25)
00:49, Naughton A. (G),
03:04, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
04:31, Naughton A. (G),
07:53, Chandler K. (G),
10:01, English T. (Behind),
10:42, Fritsch B. (G),
12:47, (Behind Rushed),
13:30, Fritsch B. (Behind),
14:10, Williams B. (G),
18:05, Pickett K. (G),
20:19, Petty H. (G),
22:46, Melksham J. (G),
25:01, Darcy S. (G),
30:53, Gawn M. (G),
32:52, Petracca C. (G),
4th Quarter (24 - 40)
01:57, (Behind Rushed),
03:06, Cleary L. (G),
05:27, Richards E. (G),
06:52, (Behind Rushed),
08:22, Petty H. (G),
11:51, Richards E. (G),
13:27, Garcia R. (G),
14:59, Langford H. (G),
19:20, Howes B. (G),
21:16, West R. (G),
22:39, Naughton A. (G),
24:38, (Behind Rushed),
30:55, Freijah J. (Behind),
32:06, Turner D. (G),

Chances of winning

Melbourne Demons
25.7%

Western Bulldogs
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)		1.27 ↓ (1.31)	7% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-25)

What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Western will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:101.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Western is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1762:1605. (average 88.1:80.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 830:598. (average 103.8:74.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Western Bulldogs?

Melbourne Demons has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Melbourne Demons?

Western Bulldogs has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs were as follows:

02.08.2024 Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons 110:59

16.03.2024 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 109:64

18.03.2023 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 115:65

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

01.08.2025 Melbourne Demons - West Coast Eagles 139:56 ✺

27.07.2025 St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons 96:90 ✺

19.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 78:70 ✺

12.07.2025 Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos 119:83 ✺

06.07.2025 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 90:77 ✺

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

31.07.2025 Western Bulldogs - Greater Western Sydney Giants 132:44 ✺

25.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs 50:143 ✺

18.07.2025 Brisbane Lions - Western Bulldogs 86:76 ✺

11.07.2025 Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows 98:109 ✺

03.07.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs 85:134 ✺

AFL Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	23	18	0	5	2278:1635	139.33	72
2	Geelong Cats	23	17	0	6	2425:1714	141.48	68
3	Brisbane Lions	23	16	1	6	2061:1804	114.25	66
4	Collingwood Magpies	23	16	0	7	1991:1627	122.37	64
5	GWS Giants	23	16	0	7	2114:1834	115.27	64
6	Fremantle Dockers	23	16	0	7	1978:1815	108.98	64
7	Gold Coast Suns	23	15	0	8	2173:1740	124.89	60
8	Hawthorn Hawks	23	15	0	8	2045:1691	120.93	60
9	Western Bulldogs	23	14	0	9	2493:1820	136.98	56
10	Sydney Swans	23	12	0	11	1845:1902	97.00	48
11	Carlton Blues	23	9	0	14	1799:1861	96.67	36
12	St Kilda Saints	23	9	0	14	1839:2077	88.54	36
13	Port Adelaide Power	23	9	0	14	1705:2136	79.82	36
14	Melbourne Demons	23	7	0	16	1902:2038	93.33	28
15	Essendon Bombers	23	6	0	17	1535:2209	69.49	24
16	North Melbourne	23	5	1	17	1805:2365	76.32	22
17	Richmond Tigers	23	5	0	18	1449:2197	65.95	20
18	West Coast Eagles	23	1	0	22	1466:2438	60.13	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 503
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1