Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Round 25
Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.43
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
84% (508/603)69% (224/323)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.490.00
Total shots
127
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
238
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
117
Passes
84% (508/603)69% (224/323)
Long passes
37% (20/54)24% (15/63)
Passes in final third
80% (167/210)39% (22/56)
Crosses
13% (1/8)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.36
Fouls
711
Tackles
47% (7/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6259
Clearances Total
2025
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.002.49
Goals prevented
0.001.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Kuol A. 🟨,
  • 7', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Memeti M. , Trewin K. (A),
  • 45+2', Theoharous C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Atkinson N. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Vitor Feijao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Vitor Feijao , Di Pizio M. ,
  • 67', Lopane A. , Ugarkovic S. ,
  • 67', Kuen A. , Wong L. ,
  • 67', Theoharous C. , Roux S. ,
  • 75', Souprayen S. , Talbot C. ,
  • 75', Memeti M. , Rahmani K. ,
  • 83', Sainsbury T. , Faisal A. ,
  • 83', Steele H. , Scicluna L. ,
  • 85', Trewin K. 🟨,
  • 89', Behich A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tilio M. , Cohen Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
68.6%
Draw
19.3%
Central Coast Mariners
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.5% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 22.8% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.59)
    4.87
    (4.03)
    7.68
    (5.53)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 0.
    • Melbourne City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Central Coast is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Melbourne City is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J. (Muscle Injury) Leckie M. (Calf Injury) Nabbout A. (Knee Injury) Necovski J. (Knee Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Eames H. (Inactive) Edmondson R. (Injury) Tapp B. (Knee Injury) Torres A. (Suspended)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38:29 (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:12 (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    31.12.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 1:1
    02.04.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 2:1
    21.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 2:1
    17.12.2023 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 3:3
    03.06.2023 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 1:6
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2, Sky Sport 7
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football, Setanta Sports
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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