Toluca vs Mazatlan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Toluca - Mazatlan
27/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toluca - Mazatlan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Toluca
73.2%
Draw
15.9%
Mazatlan
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.8% 16.2% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Toluca - Mazatlan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.28)
    6
    (5.74)
    8.9
    (8.45)
    6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
    • In recent matches, Toluca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mazatlan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toluca is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 3.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Mazatlan were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Mazatlan - Toluca 2:1
    04.01.2025 Mazatlan - Toluca 1:3
    17.07.2024 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:0
    20.01.2024 Toluca - Mazatlan 4:1
    10.11.2023 Mazatlan - Toluca 1:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    23.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:0
    20.08.2025 Toluca - Orlando City 0:1
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    19.09.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 1:1
    12.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:4
    29.08.2025 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    23.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tigres UANL 2:2
    17.08.2025 Monterrey - Mazatlan 3:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul972019:10923
    2Monterrey971120:11922
    3Toluca961222:111119
    4Club America953118:10818
    5Club Tijuana944119:10916
    6Tigres UANL944117:9816
    7UNAM Pumas934212:10213
    8Pachuca941411:10113
    9Juarez933310:11-112
    10Club Leon93248:14-611
    11Atl. San Luis931515:15010
    12Necaxa92348:14-69
    13Guadalajara Chivas922511:16-58
    14Santos Laguna921612:17-57
    15Mazatlan FC914410:15-57
    16Atlas914415:22-77
    17Queretaro92169:16-77
    18Puebla91177:22-154

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

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