Pachuca vs Mazatlan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto).

MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.42
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Goal Attempts
17	6
Shots on Goal
5	2
Shots off Goal
9	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
Free Kicks
14	12
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
12	14
Throw-ins
32	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
31	5
Passes
88% (473/539)	70% (171/243)
Passes in the final third
77% (148/191)	61% (34/56)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	11% (1/9)
Tackles
70% (7/10)	65% (17/26)
Clearances Total
8	29
Interceptions
12	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Merolla L. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
26', Colula B. 🟨,
45+7', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Moreno Villegas O. F. ⚽,
54', Hernandez S. A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
66', Godinez S. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
66', Castro C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
67', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
67', Sanchez C. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
67', Homenchenko S. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
75', Luna I. 🟨,
80', Intriago J. 🟨,
80', Aceves A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
80', Bautista A. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
82', Benedetti N. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
89', John Kennedy 🟨,

Chances of winning

Pachuca
73.4%

Draw
17.1%

Mazatlan
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pachuca - Mazatlan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.5)	5.52 ↑ (4.45)	9.87 ↑ (5.75)	5.1% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Pachuca - Mazatlan?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Pachuca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Pachuca is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Pachuca: Barreto S. D. (Knee Injury) Micolta A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Mazatlan: Amarilla L. (Injury) Barcenas Y. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Meraz R. (Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.6:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Pachuca won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Mazatlan?

Pachuca has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Pachuca?

Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Mazatlan were as follows:

23.08.2024 Mazatlan - Pachuca 3:0

27.04.2024 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:1

30.06.2023 Mazatlan - Pachuca 1:1

16.02.2023 Mazatlan - Pachuca 2:3

Latest results of Pachuca

01.03.2025 Juárez - Pachuca 2:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Pachuca - Puebla 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca 2:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 2:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Cruz Azul - Pachuca 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Mazatlan

28.02.2025 Mazatlan - Cruz Azul 1:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Mazatlan - Monterrey 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Necaxa - Mazatlan 3:1 ✺

14.02.2025 Mazatlan - Santos Laguna 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 UNAM - Mazatlan 1:0 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santos Laguna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Monterrey	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cruz Azul	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Atlas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Atl. San Luis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Guadalajara Chivas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Necaxa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Pachuca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Club America	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Tigres UANL	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	UNAM Pumas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Queretaro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Club Tijuana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Club Leon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Juarez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mazatlan FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Mazatlan?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Tubi TV
Mexico	Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America