Result
1:1
19/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 1.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
75% (228/303) | 80% (321/399) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 1.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.99 | 1.44 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
3 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
75% (228/303) | 80% (321/399) |
Long passes |
---|
28% (13/46) | 45% (19/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (54/91) | 53% (39/73) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (4/18) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (10/17) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.44 | 0.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.44 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Rocha A. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 44', Benedetti N. (Pen),
- 45+4', Barcenas Y. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
- 61', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 66', del Prete G. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
- 66', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 79', Mora A. 🟨,
- 79', Esquivel J. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 82', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Almada F. ⚽, Merolla L. (A),
- 90+1', Benedetti N. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 90+1', Fabio Gomes ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 90+13', 1 - 1, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mazatlan 42.2% | Draw 26.8% | Atlas 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Mazatlan - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↓ (2.45) |
3.53 ↑ (3.1) |
3.08 ↑ (2.65) |
5% (10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Mazatlan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E.
(Muscle Injury)
Coccaro M.
(Red Card)
Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlas?
Mazatlan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Mazatlan?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Atlas were as follows:
28.03.2025
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
3:2
18.10.2024
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
0:0
09.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
2:0
30.12.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:0
20.10.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:3
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:13 | 15 | 22 |
3 | Monterrey | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
7 | Juarez | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Pachuca | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
9 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Club Leon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
11 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Atl. San Luis | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
13 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 |
14 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Mazatlan FC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
16 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
17 | Atlas | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 7 |
18 | Puebla | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Mazatlan - Atlas?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Azteca 7, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
South-america | ViX Latin America |