Maximus Jones vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Antofagasta Challenger Men Maximus Jones - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Result
0:2
29/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta - Qualification, clay - Final
Maximus Jones - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
04
1st Serve Percentage
63%61%
1st Serve Points Won
35% (11/31)60% (18/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
17% (3/18)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
27% (3/11)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
40% (12/30)65% (20/31)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (10/19)83% (15/18)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
29% (14/49)55% (27/49)
Return Points Won
45% (22/49)71% (35/49)
Total Points Won
37% (36/98)63% (62/98)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Return Games Won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Maximus Jones
41.1%
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximus Jones's form might have worsened.
  • Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximus Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maximus Jones - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.83)

    1.53
    (1.83)
    7.4%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jones is ranked ATP: 367. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 807.
    • In recent matches, Jones has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aguilar Cardozo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aguilar Cardozo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 0
    3Soto M.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    4Bagnis F. (WC)Maestrelli F. (5)2 : 1
    5Dellien H. (3)Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Boscardin Dias P. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Kicker N.Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Torres J. B. (Q)Neumayer L. (7)0 : 2
    9Thanos A. (LL)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    10Collarini A.Vallejo D.1 : 2
    11Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Midon L.1 : 2
    12Olivieri G. A.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    13Habib H.Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    14Nunez D. A. (WC)Zarate C. M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torrealba B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    2Reis Da Silva J. (WO.)Bagnis F.
    3Guillen Meza A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Diaz Acosta F.Neumayer L. (7)2 : 0
    5Thanos A.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    6Midon L.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    7Habib H.Zarate C. M.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gomez F. A.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    2Guillen Meza A.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    4Habib H.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    2Vallejo D.Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Diaz Acosta F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2
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