Max Houkes vs Alexander Ritschard: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Max Houkes - Alexander Ritschard
Result
1:2
22/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Final
Max Houkes - Alexander Ritschard - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
70%56%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (43/66)67% (30/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (9/28)69% (24/35)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/45)35% (23/66)
2nd Return Points Won
31% (11/35)68% (19/28)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
55% (51/93)68% (54/80)
Return Points Won
33% (26/80)45% (42/93)
Total Points Won
45% (77/173)55% (96/173)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Max Houkes
42.3%
Alexander Ritschard
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Houkes's form might have worsened.
  • Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Max Houkes - Alexander Ritschard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.84)

    1.63
    (1.85)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Houkes is ranked ATP: 294. Ritschard is ranked ATP: 330.
    • Houkes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ritschard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Max Houkes
    Latest results of Alexander Ritschard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2
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