Result
1:2
18/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 81% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (51/84) | 64% (50/78) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 33% (15/46) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 50% (6/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (28/78) | 40% (34/84) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (31/46) | 60% (12/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (59/104) | 52% (65/124) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (59/124) | 43% (45/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (118/228) | 48% (110/228) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 50% (15/30) |
Chances of winning
Max Alcala Gurri
65.4% | Corentin Denolly
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.53) |
|
2.68 ↑
(2.37) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 426. Denolly is ranked ATP: 320.
- Alcala Gurri has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Denolly has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alcala Gurri could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcala Gurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Max Alcala Gurri won against Corentin Denolly?
Max Alcala Gurri has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corentin Denolly won against Max Alcala Gurri?
Corentin Denolly has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly were as follows:
22.12.2023
Max Alcala Gurri
-
Corentin Denolly
2:1
Latest results of Max Alcala Gurri
Latest results of Corentin Denolly
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Ovcharenko O. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Uta D. (Q) | Raynel A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Bentzel C. S. (WC) | Boitan G. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Roncadelli F. | Alvarez Varona N. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Kuzmanov D. (3) | Montes-De La Torre I. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Tomescu D. A. (Q) | Picchione A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nijboer R. | Damas M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Marti Pujolras A. | Brunold M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Giustino L. (RET.) (6) | Alcala Gurri M. | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Denolly C. | Campana Lee G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Coman M. A. (WC) | Gima S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Mrva M. | Erhard M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Jianu F. C. (5) | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Faurel T. (Q) | Agamenone F. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Zapata Miralles B. | Loge J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Ionel N. D. | Rincon D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Raynel A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boitan G. A. | Alvarez Varona N. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kuzmanov D. (3) | Picchione A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Brunold M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Alcala Gurri M. | Denolly C. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Gima S. | Erhard M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jianu F. C. (5) | Agamenone F. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Loge J. | Rincon D. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Boitan G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Picchione A. (RET.) | Damas M. | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Denolly C. | Erhard M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Agamenone F. | Rincon D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Clarke J. (1) | Damas M. | |
| 2 | Erhard M. (4) | Agamenone F. | |
Final
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