Matthew Donald vs Sebastian Sorger: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ITF M15 Telfs Men Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Telfs, clay - Semi-finals
Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
19

Chances of winning


Matthew Donald
37.8%
Sebastian Sorger
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Donald's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Matthew Donald - Sebastian Sorger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.09)

    1.49
    (1.69)
    7.7%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Donald is ranked ATP: 737. Sorger is ranked ATP: 686.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Sorger will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Matthew Donald
    Latest results of Sebastian Sorger
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Novak D. (1)Schlageter J.2 : 0
    2Bieldiugin T.Waldner N. (Q)2 : 1
    3Roeder P.Schlagenhauf N. (Q)0 : 2
    4Figl M. (Q)Donald M. (6)1 : 2
    5Sorger S. (4)Buldorini P.2 : 0
    6Bilardo J.Schifris J.2 : 0
    7Wagner A.Ramskogler G.0 : 2
    8Van Herck L. (Q)Wehnelt K. (7)2 : 0
    9D'Agostino S. (8)Kobierski J.2 : 0
    10Homberg M.Hipfl N.2 : 0
    11Hartenstein J. P. (Q)de Marchi A.2 : 1
    12Friberg K.Ferrari G. (3)2 : 1
    13Oradini G. (5)Pinter P. L.2 : 0
    14Laborde A. (Q)Ujvary M.2 : 1
    15Borrelli L. (Q)Horak O. (Q)0 : 2
    16Barsukov N.Nicod J. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Novak D. (1)Bieldiugin T.2 : 0
    2Schlagenhauf N.Donald M. (6)0 : 2
    3Sorger S. (4)Bilardo J.2 : 0
    4Ramskogler G.Van Herck L.0 : 2
    5D'Agostino S. (8)Homberg M.2 : 0
    6Hartenstein J. P.Friberg K.0 : 2
    7Oradini G. (5)Laborde A.2 : 1
    8Horak O.Barsukov N.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Novak D. (1)Donald M. (6)0 : 2
    2Sorger S. (4)Van Herck L.2 : 0
    3D'Agostino S. (8)Friberg K.2 : 1
    4Oradini G. (5)Horak O.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Donald M. (6)Sorger S. (4)1 : 2
    2D'Agostino S. (8)Oradini G. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sorger S. (4)Oradini G. (5)2 : 1
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