Gabriel Diallo vs Matteo Gigante: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Toronto Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante
Result
2:0
30/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals
Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
56
1st Serve Percentage
66%58%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (35/43)68% (36/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (12/22)46% (18/39)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)85% (11/13)
1st Return Points Won
32% (17/53)19% (8/43)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (21/39)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
15% (2/13)33% (1/3)
Winners
1914
Unforced Errors
1519
Net Points Won
79% (11/14)100% (7/7)
Service Points Won
72% (47/65)59% (55/93)
Return Points Won
41% (38/93)28% (18/65)
Total Points Won
54% (85/158)46% (73/158)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Gabriel Diallo
73.7%
Matteo Gigante
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Gigante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.33)

    3.61
    (3.39)
    5%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gigante will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 50%). Gigante (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diallo is ranked ATP: 36. Gigante is ranked ATP: 125.
    • In recent matches, Diallo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gigante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gigante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Diallo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diallo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante were as follows:
    03.01.2024 Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante 2:0
    28.06.2023 Matteo Gigante - Gabriel Diallo 2:0
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Latest results of Matteo Gigante
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14)1 : 0
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)2 : 1
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.2 : 0
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)1 : 2
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20)1 : 1
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Popyrin A. (18)2 : 1
    2Michelsen A. (26)Khachanov K. (11)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (9)Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    4Rublev A. (6)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Khachanov K. (11)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (11)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
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