Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
0:2

25/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Aces
7	6
Double Faults
3	1
1st Serve Percentage
63%	59%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (23/36)	78% (28/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (13/21)	48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)	78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
22% (8/36)	36% (13/36)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (13/25)	38% (8/21)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)	43% (3/7)
Winners
14	17
Unforced Errors
19	25
Net Points Won
60% (3/5)	88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
62% (40/65)	61% (52/85)
Return Points Won
39% (33/85)	38% (25/65)
Total Points Won
49% (73/150)	51% (77/150)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
4	0
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)	82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)	30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)	57% (12/21)

Chances of winning

Alex De Minaur 58.6%

Matteo Berrettini 41.4%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Alex De Minaur 59.3%

Matteo Berrettini 40.7%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Alex De Minaur 59.9%

Matteo Berrettini 40.1%

Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)		2.29 ↓ (2.3)	5.4% (6.8%)

What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 11. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 30.
De Minaur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Berrettini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
De Minaur will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Matteo Berrettini?

Alex De Minaur has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Berrettini won against Alex De Minaur?

Matteo Berrettini has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:

07.07.2023 Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur 3:0

Latest results of Alex De Minaur

24.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur 2:0 ✺

10.03.2025 Hubert Hurkacz - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 David Goffin - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Matteo Berrettini

24.03.2025 Matteo Berrettini - Zizou Bergs 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Matteo Berrettini - Hugo Gaston 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas 0:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell 2:0 ✺

27.02.2025 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bonzi B.	Fearnley J. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Thompson J.	Giron M.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)
5	Fils A. (17)	Bye
6	Diallo G. (LL)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
7	Struff J-L.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (11)	Bye
10	Eubanks C. (WC)	Opelka R. (PR)	0 : 2
11	Arnaldi M.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Machac T. (20)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Safiullin R.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Bautista-Agut R.	Mensik J.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Draper J. (6)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	Sonego L.	Navone M.	2 : 0
19	Tirante T. A. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Shapovalov D. (27)
21	Walton A. (LL)	Bye
22	Martinez P.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
23	Wong C. (WC)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shelton B. (13)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Bu Y.	Norrie C.	2 : 0
27	Fonseca J.	Tien L.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Humbert U. (19)
29	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
30	Gaston H. (LL)	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Bergs Z.	Borges N.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rublev A. (8)
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
34	Rinderknech A.	Munar J.	0 : 2
35	Monfils G.	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Lehecka J. (26)
37	Korda S. (24)	Bye
38	Spizzirri E. (WC)	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 1
39	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (9)
41	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
42	Seyboth Wild T.	Halys Q.	0 : 2
43	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)	Holt B. (Q)	2 : 1
47	Hijikata R.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Ruud C. (5)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
51	Blockx A. (Q)	Moutet C.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tabilo A. (30)
53	Cerundolo F. (23)	Bye
54	Muller A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Bublik A.	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Paul T. (12)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Comesana F. (Q)	Cina F. (WC)	0 : 2
59	McDonald M. (Q)	Kyrgios N. (PR)	1 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (22)
61	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
62	O'Connell C. (Q)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
63	Vukic A.	Goffin D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
2	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)	2 : 0
3	Fils A. (17)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Davidovich Fokina A.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (11)	Opelka R.	1 : 2
6	Arnaldi M.	Machac T. (20)	1 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
8	Mensik J.	Draper J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Fritz T. (3)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
10	Tirante T. A.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 2
11	Walton A. (LL)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
12	Wong C.	Shelton B. (13)	2 : 1
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Fonseca J.	Humbert U. (19)	2 : 0
15	Berrettini M. (29)	Gaston H.	2 : 1
16	Bergs Z.	Rublev A. (8)	2 : 0
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Munar J.	0 : 2
18	Monfils G.	Lehecka J. (26)	2 : 1
19	Korda S. (24)	Spizzirri E.	2 : 0
20	Tseng C. H.	Tsitsipas S. (9)	1 : 2
21	Musetti L. (15)	Halys Q.	2 : 1
22	Schoolkate T.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	0 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (32)	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
24	Hijikata R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Ruud C. (5)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
26	Moutet C.	Tabilo A. (30)	1 : 2
27	Cerundolo F. (23)	Muller A.	2 : 0
28	Bublik A.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Cina F.	2 : 0
30	Kyrgios N.	Khachanov K. (22)	0 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (31)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
32	Goffin D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
2	Fils A. (17)	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 1
3	Opelka R.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
4	Safiullin R.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
5	Fritz T. (3)	Shapovalov D. (27)	2 : 0
6	Walton A.	Wong C.	2 : 1
7	De Minaur A. (10)	Fonseca J.	2 : 1
8	Berrettini M. (29)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
9	Munar J.	Monfils G.	1 : 2
10	Korda S. (24)	Tsitsipas S. (9)	2 : 0
11	Musetti L. (15)	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 1
12	Ugo Carabelli C.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ruud C. (5)	Tabilo A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Cerundolo F. (23)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 0
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Khachanov K. (22)	2 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (31)	Goffin D.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fils A. (17)	1 : 2
2	Machac T. (20)	Mensik J. (WO.)
3	Fritz T. (3)	Walton A.	2 : 0
4	De Minaur A. (10)	Berrettini M. (29)	0 : 2
5	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	1 : 2
6	Musetti L. (15)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (5)	Cerundolo F. (23)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fils A. (17)	Mensik J.	0 : 2
2	Fritz T. (3)	Berrettini M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Korda S. (24)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (23)	Dimitrov G. (14)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Mensik J.	Fritz T. (3)
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Dimitrov G. (14)

Final

TBD #1

TBD #2