Matteo Arnaldi vs Sebastian Korda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Barcelona Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda
Result
1:2
14/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals
Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
62%70%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (29/46)70% (38/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (16/28)65% (15/23)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/54)37% (17/46)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (8/23)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)67% (4/6)
Winners
1832
Unforced Errors
1732
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)79% (11/14)
Service Points Won
61% (45/74)68% (51/75)
Return Points Won
32% (24/75)39% (29/74)
Total Points Won
46% (69/149)54% (80/149)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
52.3%
Sebastian Korda
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.91)

    1.98
    (1.91)
    5.9%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 40. Korda is ranked ATP: 24.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Sebastian Korda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2
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