Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borges: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:1
01/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - Quarter-finals
Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
57
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
59%61%
1st serve points won
69% (48/70)69% (47/68)
2nd serve points won
46% (22/48)48% (21/44)
Break Points Saved
6/96/10
1st return points won
31% (21/68)31% (22/70)
2nd return points won
52% (23/44)54% (26/48)
Break Points Converted
4/103/9
Winners
2933
Unforced errors
5450
Net points won
61% (11/18)72% (13/18)
Service Points Won
59% (70/118)61% (68/112)
Return Points Won
39% (44/112)41% (48/118)
Total Points Won
50% (114/230)50% (116/230)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
12
Service games won
82% (14/17)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)18% (3/17)
Total games won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
50.7%
Nuno Borges
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.
  • Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.11)

    1.9
    (1.65)
    7.2%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges?
    • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Borges will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 103. Borges is ranked ATP: 49.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
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