Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
0:2

10/03/2025 at 17:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Aces
2	4
Double Faults
5	0
1st Serve Percentage
61%	73%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (20/28)	85% (28/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
22% (4/18)	75% (9/12)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)	100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
18% (6/33)	29% (8/28)
2nd Return Points Won
25% (3/12)	78% (14/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)	50% (3/6)
Winners
10	12
Unforced Errors
22	7
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)	90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
57% (32/56)	82% (37/45)
Return Points Won
18% (8/45)	43% (24/56)
Total Points Won
40% (40/101)	60% (61/101)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)	100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)	33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)	67% (12/18)

Chances of winning

Matteo Arnaldi 52.4%

Brandon Nakashima 47.6%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Matteo Arnaldi 43.7%

Brandon Nakashima 56.3%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Matteo Arnaldi 42.5%

Brandon Nakashima 57.5%

Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.18)		2 ↑ (1.69)	5% (5%)

What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
Both players are now playing unstable.
Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Brandon Nakashima?

Matteo Arnaldi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Matteo Arnaldi?

Brandon Nakashima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:

14.02.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima 2:0

08.11.2022 Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima 2:3

Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi

08.03.2025 Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi 2:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Brandon Nakashima

08.03.2025 Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Nakashima 0:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima 2:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin 2:0 ✺

26.02.2025 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima Rune H. retired ✺

25.02.2025 Benjamin Bonzi - Brandon Nakashima 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Kecmanovic M.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
3	Marozsan F.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)
5	Machac T. (19)	Bye
6	Bublik A.	Watanuki Y. (Q)	1 : 2
7	Bautista-Agut R.	Dzumhur D. (Q)	1 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (12)	Bye
10	Moutet C.	Thompson J.	2 : 1
11	Munar J.	Nishikori K.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Humbert U. (18)
13	Berrettini M. (28)	Bye
14	Carballes Baena R.	O'Connell C.	1 : 2
15	Seyboth Wild T.	Muller A.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (8)
17	Ruud C. (4)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Bergs Z.	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (26)
21	Fils A. (20)	Bye
22	Zhang Z.	Diallo G. (LL)	1 : 2
23	Safiullin R.	Opelka R. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Musetti L. (15)
25	Paul T. (10)	Bye
26	Boyer T. (WC)	Vukic A.	2 : 1
27	Norrie C.	Nardi L.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (23)
29	Michelsen A. (31)	Bye
30	Smith C. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
31	Bu Y.	Basavareddy N. (WC)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Medvedev D. (5)
33	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
35	Shevchenko A.	Hijikata R.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Nakashima B. (32)
37	Khachanov K. (22)	Bye
38	Etcheverry T. M.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
39	Navone M.	Tien L.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Shelton B. (11)
41	Draper J. (13)	Bye
42	Fearnley J.	Fonseca J. (WC)	1 : 2
43	Bonzi B.	Brooksby J. (PR)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (17)
45	Tabilo A. (30)	Bye
46	Tu L. (Q)	Lajovic D.	0 : 2
47	Gigante M. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Fritz T. (3)
49	Djokovic N. (6)	Bye
50	Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)	Kyrgios N. (RET.) (PR)	1 : 0
51	McDonald M. (WC)	Davidovich Fokina A.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Cerundolo F. (25)
53	Hurkacz H. (21)	Bye
54	Darderi L.	Gaston H. (Q)	0 : 2
55	Goffin D.	Sonego L.	2 : 0
56	Bye	De Minaur A. (9)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Rinderknech A.	Borges N.	1 : 2
59	Struff J-L.	Monfils G.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Korda S. (24)
61	Shapovalov D. (27)	Bye
62	Zeppieri G. (Q)	Walton A. (Q)	0 : 2
63	Halys Q.	Carreno-Busta P. (Q)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
2	Marozsan F. (RET.)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)	0 : 1
3	Machac T. (RET.) (19)	Watanuki Y.	1 : 0
4	Dzumhur D.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (12)	Moutet C.	2 : 0
6	Nishikori K.	Humbert U. (18)	0 : 2
7	Berrettini M. (28)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
8	Seyboth Wild T.	Tsitsipas S. (8)	0 : 2
9	Ruud C. (4)	Giron M.	1 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Popyrin A. (26)	0 : 2
11	Fils A. (20)	Diallo G.	2 : 0
12	Safiullin R.	Musetti L. (15)	1 : 2
13	Paul T. (10)	Boyer T.	2 : 0
14	Norrie C.	Lehecka J. (23)	2 : 1
15	Michelsen A. (31)	Smith C.	2 : 0
16	Bu Y.	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
17	Rublev A. (7)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
18	Hijikata R.	Nakashima B. (32)	0 : 2
19	Khachanov K. (22)	Mensik J.	2 : 1
20	Navone M.	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
21	Draper J. (13)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Auger-Aliassime F. (17)	2 : 0
23	Tabilo A. (30)	Lajovic D.	2 : 0
24	Gigante M.	Fritz T. (3)	0 : 2
25	Djokovic N. (6)	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
26	McDonald M.	Cerundolo F. (25)	1 : 2
27	Hurkacz H. (21)	Gaston H.	2 : 0
28	Goffin D.	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Borges N.	2 : 0
30	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	2 : 0
31	Shapovalov D. (27)	Walton A.	2 : 0
32	Halys Q.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)	2 : 0
2	Watanuki Y.	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 0
3	Rune H. (12)	Humbert U. (18)	2 : 1
4	Berrettini M. (28)	Tsitsipas S. (8)	0 : 2
5	Giron M.	Popyrin A. (26)	2 : 1
6	Fils A. (20)	Musetti L. (15)	2 : 1
7	Paul T. (10)	Norrie C.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A. (RET.) (31)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 0
9	Arnaldi M.	Nakashima B. (32)	0 : 2
10	Khachanov K. (22)	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
11	Draper J. (13)	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
12	Tabilo A. (30)	Fritz T. (3)	1 : 2
13	Van De Zandschulp B.	Cerundolo F. (25)	0 : 2
14	Hurkacz H. (21)	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Monfils G.	2 : 1
16	Shapovalov D. (27)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Watanuki Y.	2 : 0
2	Rune H. (12)	Tsitsipas S. (8)	2 : 0
3	Giron M.	Fils A. (20)	1 : 2
4	Paul T. (10)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
5	Nakashima B. (32)	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
6	Draper J. (13)	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 0
7	Cerundolo F. (25)	De Minaur A. (9)	2 : 0
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Rune H. (12)	1 : 2
2	Fils A. (20)	Medvedev D. (5)	1 : 2
3	Shelton B. (11)	Draper J. (13)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (25)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Rune H. (12)	Medvedev D. (5)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (13)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Final

Rune H. (12)

Draper J. (13)

0 : 2