Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma
Result
1:3
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J3 League - Round 19
Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Corner Kicks
413
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
911
Corner Kicks
413
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Nishimura Y. , Yamanaka A. (A),
  • 43', Matsumura G. 🟥,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Koyanagi T. , Nishimura Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ohashi H. , Takahashi S. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Takahashi Y. ,
  • 56', Shimokawa T. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 56', Takazawa Y. , Kawata A. ,
  • 60', Higuchi D. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 60', Nonomura T. , Kokubu R. ,
  • 60', Yamamoto R. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Tanaka S. ,
  • 65', Nishimura Y. , Yamauchi R. ,
  • 65', Koyanagi T. , Ohata R. ,
  • 66', Mawatari K. 🟨,
  • 81', Murakoshi K. , Maeda R. ,
  • 87', Sakurai A. , Kikuchi K. ,
  • 90+3', Kawata A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kikui Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
44.3%
Draw
27.5%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.21
    (3.17)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tochigi City20134332:181443
    2Osaka20125332:131941
    3Vanraure20124427:131440
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    5Kagoshima Utd2088432:221032
    6Nara Club2086626:23330
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu2083919:21-227
    8Yamaga2075824:26-226
    9Kanazawa2075822:24-226
    10Fukushima Utd2075832:43-1126
    11Gainare Tottori2074916:19-325
    12Kochi United2067730:35-525
    13Kusatsu2058727:30-323
    14Tochigi SC2065915:19-423
    15Ryukyu20641017:22-522
    16Sagamihara2049720:26-621
    17Nagano2056916:23-721
    18Kamatamare20551019:24-520
    19Azul Claro Numazu2039818:20-218
    20Gifu20461023:34-1118

          Promotion ~ J2 League
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          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation

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