Matilde Jorge vs Xin Gao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Porto Challenger Women Matilde Jorge - Xin Gao
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals
Matilde Jorge - Xin Gao - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
64%81%
1st Serve Points Won
40% (19/48)52% (36/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)31% (5/16)
Break Points Saved
42% (5/12)60% (9/15)
1st Return Points Won
48% (33/69)60% (29/48)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (11/16)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
40% (6/15)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
44% (33/75)48% (41/85)
Return Points Won
52% (44/85)56% (42/75)
Total Points Won
48% (77/160)52% (83/160)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
36% (4/11)45% (5/11)
Return Games Won
55% (6/11)64% (7/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Matilde Jorge
40.4%
Xin Gao
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Xin Gao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Gao than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Matilde Jorge - Xin Gao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.16)

    1.57
    (1.64)
    7.6%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jorge is ranked WTA: 257. Gao is ranked WTA: 164.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gao might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matilde Jorge
    Latest results of Xin Gao
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ito A. (1)Sakatsume H. (Q)0 : 2
    2Korneeva A. (Q)Leonard M.2 : 0
    3Diatchenko V.Knutson G.2 : 0
    4Couto L. (WC)Charaeva A. (8)0 : 2
    5Valentova T. (3)Jorge F.2 : 0
    6Bektas E. (Q)Hruncakova V.1 : 2
    7Jorge M.Monnet C.2 : 0
    8Andrianjafitrimo T.Gao X. (5)0 : 2
    9Costoulas S. (RET.) (7)Preston T.0 : 1
    10Tararudee L.Ryser V.2 : 0
    11Falei A. (Q)Inoue H.1 : 2
    12Voloshchuk A. (WC)Watson H. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Naef C. (6)Friedsam A-L.0 : 2
    14Cabrera L.Freitas A. (WC)2 : 0
    15Laundes F. (WC)Barthel M.0 : 2
    16Hontama M.Hon P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Korneeva A.2 : 0
    2Diatchenko V.Charaeva A. (8)2 : 1
    3Valentova T. (3)Hruncakova V.2 : 0
    4Jorge M.Gao X. (5)1 : 2
    5Preston T.Tararudee L.0 : 2
    6Inoue H.Voloshchuk A.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Cabrera L.2 : 0
    8Barthel M. (RET.)Hontama M.0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Diatchenko V.2 : 1
    2Valentova T. (3)Gao X. (5)2 : 0
    3Tararudee L.Voloshchuk A.2 : 0
    4Friedsam A-L.Hontama M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Valentova T. (3)0 : 2
    2Tararudee L.Friedsam A-L.2 : 0

    Final
    1Valentova T. (3)Tararudee L.2 : 0
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