Matias Soto vs Stefano Napolitano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:2
08/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals
Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
1011
Double Faults
90
1st serve percentage
53%56%
1st serve points won
74% (26/35)64% (25/39)
2nd serve points won
39% (12/31)77% (24/31)
Break Points Saved
2/53/4
1st return points won
36% (14/39)26% (9/35)
2nd return points won
23% (7/31)61% (19/31)
Break Points Converted
1/43/5
Winners
2422
Unforced errors
4022
Net points won
100% (5/5)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
58% (38/66)70% (49/70)
Return Points Won
30% (21/70)42% (28/66)
Total Points Won
43% (59/136)57% (77/136)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
10
Service games won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
38.6%
Stefano Napolitano
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.
  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.09)

    1.53
    (1.65)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 304. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302.
    • Soto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Napolitano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Napolitano might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    06.04.2026 Jay Clarke - Matias Soto 1:2
    02.04.2026 Alan Magadan - Matias Soto 1:2
    30.03.2026 Matias Soto - Bor Artnak Canceled
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
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