Matias Soto vs Hugo Grenier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Porto Challenger Men Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier
Result
0:2
30/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals
Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
78
Double Faults
28
1st Serve Percentage
65%57%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (22/37)85% (29/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)35% (9/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (7/34)43% (16/37)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (17/26)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)50% (4/8)
Winners
2311
Unforced Errors
3118
Net Points Won
60% (6/10)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
55% (31/56)63% (38/60)
Return Points Won
37% (22/60)45% (25/56)
Total Points Won
46% (53/116)54% (63/116)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
26.8%
Hugo Grenier
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.
  • Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Grenier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (2.89)

    1.29
    (1.41)
    6.8%
    (5.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 250. Grenier is ranked ATP: 192.
    • Soto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grenier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Soto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Grenier is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    29.07.2025 Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto Alvarez Varona N. retired
    10.07.2025 Matias Soto - Radu Albot 0:2
    Latest results of Hugo Grenier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Faria J. (1)Ymer E.1 : 2
    2Karatsev A.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    3Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (SE)Soto M.1 : 1
    4Araujo P. (WC)Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    5Huesler M. (3)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    6Sultanov K.Echargui M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Butvilas E.Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    8Soriano Barrera A. (Q)van Assche L. (8)0 : 2
    9Maestrelli F. (6)Torres T. (Q)2 : 1
    10Loffhagen G.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 1
    11McKennon M. (Q)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    12Escoffier A.Merida Aguilar D. (4)2 : 0
    13Rocha H. (5)Searle H. (Q)2 : 0
    14Albot R. (Alt)Coulibaly E.0 : 2
    15Cui J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    16Elias G. (WC)Landaluce M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E.Kukushkin M.2 : 1
    2Soto M.Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F.Echargui M.
    4Butvilas E.van Assche L. (8)
    5Maestrelli F. (6)Loffhagen G.
    6Pereira T.Escoffier A.
    7Rocha H. (5)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    8Moro Canas A.Landaluce M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E.Grenier H. (7)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Rocha H. (5)Moro Canas A.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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