Mathys Erhard vs Christoph Negritu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Milan Challenger Men Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu
Result
1:2
24/06/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals
Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
66
Double Faults
72
1st Serve Percentage
67%63%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (54/80)71% (45/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (18/40)46% (17/37)
Break Points Saved
81% (13/16)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
33% (21/63)33% (26/80)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (20/37)55% (22/40)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)19% (3/16)
Service Points Won
60% (72/120)62% (62/100)
Return Points Won
38% (38/100)40% (48/120)
Total Points Won
50% (110/220)50% (110/220)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
31
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
66%
Christoph Negritu
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.
  • Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.83)

    2.74
    (1.83)
    7.1%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu?
  • Users Predictions: Mathys Erhard will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Erhard is ranked ATP: 272. Negritu is ranked ATP: 288.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Erhard is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu were as follows:
    28.10.2022 Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu 2:1
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
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