Mathys Erhard vs Alexey Vatutin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ITF M25 Poznan Men Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan, clay - Semi-finals
Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
46.1%
Alexey Vatutin
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.85)

    1.72
    (1.85)
    8%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Erhard is ranked ATP: 283. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 323.
    • Erhard is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Vatutin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Gonzalez Fernandez M.2 : 0
    2Matuszczyk M. (Q)Bojarski A. (Q)0 : 2
    3Szajrych J.Sadzik J. (WC)2 : 1
    4Manzanera Pertusa A.Kivattsev K. (8)0 : 2
    5Vatutin A. (3)Gannon C. (Q)2 : 0
    6Pawelski M. (RET.)Gimenez I.0 : 1
    7Zanellato N. (Q)Filar K.0 : 2
    8Ozolins K. (Q)Krutykh O. (5)2 : 0
    9Berkieta T. (RET.) (7)Hrazdil J. (Q)1 : 1
    10Lechno-Wasiutynski F. (WC)Guttau N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Barreto Sanchez D. A.Zeuch T. (LL)1 : 2
    12Hrynkiewicz J. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (4)0 : 2
    13Beckley A. (6)Michocki P.2 : 0
    14Donald M.Mashtakov N.2 : 0
    15Hernandez C.Knitter K.2 : 0
    16Zielinski M.Denolly C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Bojarski A.2 : 0
    2Szajrych J. (RET.)Kivattsev K. (8)1 : 1
    3Vatutin A. (3)Gimenez I.2 : 1
    4Filar K.Ozolins K.2 : 0
    5Hrazdil J.Lechno-Wasiutynski F.0 : 2
    6Zeuch T.Kasnikowski M. (4)1 : 2
    7Beckley A. (RET.) (6)Donald M.0 : 1
    8Hernandez C.Denolly C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Kivattsev K. (8)2 : 1
    2Vatutin A. (3)Filar K.2 : 0
    3Lechno-Wasiutynski F.Kasnikowski M. (4)2 : 1
    4Donald M.Denolly C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Vatutin A. (3)2 : 1
    2Lechno-Wasiutynski F.Donald M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Erhard M. (1)Lechno-Wasiutynski F.1 : 2
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