Result
1:2
08/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- KENYA: Premier League - Round 20
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Asieche E. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Omija A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 76', 1 - 2, Morrison E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
19.5% | Draw
28.7% | Gor Mahia
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gor Mahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mathare United - Gor Mahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.7 ↑
(3.5) |
3.19 ↑
(2.93) |
1.77 ↓
(2.14) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - Gor Mahia?
Users Predictions:
Gor Mahia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 1.
- Recent matches Mathare United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gor Mahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mathare United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Gor Mahia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mathare United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Gor Mahia?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Mathare United?
Gor Mahia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Gor Mahia were as follows:
28.09.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Mathare United
4:0
03.05.2023
Gor Mahia
-
Mathare United
2:1
01.03.2023
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
2:1
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shabana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gor Mahia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bidco United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | KCB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ulinzi Stars | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Kariobangi Sharks | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Bandari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Police FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Nairobi United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Muranga | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Leopards | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Tusker | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Sofapaka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Super League
Which TV channels are streaming of Mathare United - Gor Mahia?
It is being streamed on channel
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 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
