Matej Dodig vs Hugo Gaston: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Roanne Challenger Men Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston
Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Semi-finals
Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
77
Double Faults
96
1st Serve Percentage
57%53%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (46/67)79% (33/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (23/50)58% (22/38)
Break Points Saved
84% (16/19)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
21% (9/42)34% (23/67)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (16/38)54% (27/50)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)16% (3/19)
Service Points Won
58% (67/116)69% (55/80)
Return Points Won
31% (25/80)42% (49/116)
Total Points Won
47% (92/196)53% (104/196)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Matej Dodig
29.4%
Hugo Gaston
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.
  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.3)

    1.34
    (1.54)
    6.3%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gaston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dodig is ranked ATP: 278. Gaston is ranked ATP: 101.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gaston is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)van Assche L.2 : 1
    2Stricker D. (Q)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    3Dodig M. (NG)Eubanks C.2 : 0
    4Gueymard Wayenburg S.Passaro F. (8)1 : 2
    5Misolic F. (3)Bernet H. (WC)1 : 2
    6Sachko V.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (Alt)Chidekh C.2 : 1
    8Durasovic V. (Q)Gaston H. (5)0 : 2
    9Carreno-Busta P. (6)Karol M. (LL)1 : 2
    10Galarneau A.Martineau M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Brunold M. (Q)Engel J. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Sakellaridis S. (Q)Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    13Blockx A. (7)Sels J. (LL)2 : 0
    14Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O.0 : 2
    15Glinka D. (Q)Hemery C.0 : 2
    16Added D. (WC)Thompson J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Stricker D.0 : 2
    2Dodig M.Passaro F. (8)2 : 0
    3Bernet H.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    4Gojo B.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    5Karol M.Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Brunold M.Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    7Blockx A. (7)Virtanen O.1 : 2
    8Hemery C.Thompson J. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Dodig M.0 : 0
    2Budkov Kjaer N.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    3Martineau M.Brunold M.2 : 1
    4Virtanen O.Hemery C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    2Martineau M.Virtanen O.0 : 2

    Final
    1Gaston H. (5)Virtanen O.
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