Riga Mariners vs Mārupe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian 1 Liga Riga Mariners - Mārupe
Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Nakotnes liga - Round 16
Riga Mariners - Mārupe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Oliynyk M. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Sinelnikovs A. , Sirbu D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Poluhovics A. 🟨,
  • 46', Garais P. , Komorovskis K. ,
  • 51', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Korzans R. ,
  • 59', Strauss G. 🟨,
  • 64', Sula M. , Zarovs N. ,
  • 67', Sinelnikovs A. , Caune M. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Grazis A. ,
  • 77', Sirbu D. , Anohins I. ,
  • 77', Pavlovskis A. , Visnakovs E. ,
  • 79', Jansons K. , Zags T. ,
  • 79', Kirilins A. , Roga R. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Grazis A. , Anohins I. (A),
  • 83', Grazis A. , Libietis K. ,
  • 85', Oliynyk M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Anohins I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Riga Mariners
62.9%
Draw
18.6%
Mārupe
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 17.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 16.4% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Mārupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riga Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Riga Mariners - Mārupe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.4)
    4.87
    (5.15)
    4.89
    (5.15)
    10.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: ) and 5).
    • Riga Mariners has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mārupe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Riga Mariners is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Riga Mariners will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Riga Mariners won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Riga Mariners - Mārupe were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Mārupe - Riga Mariners 1:2
    Latest results of Riga Mariners
    02.08.2025 Skanstes - Riga Mariners 2:3
    26.07.2025 Riga Mariners - Riga 2 0:0
    11.07.2025 Riga Mariners - Olaine 6:1
    Latest results of Mārupe
    02.08.2025 Augšdaugavas - Mārupe 0:1
    27.07.2025 Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe 1:2
    18.07.2025 Ogre United - Mārupe 3:1
    13.07.2025 Mārupe - Metta LU 1:4
    05.07.2025 Mārupe - JFK Ventspils 1:2
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga Mariners18133252:213142
    2Ogre United18132353:173641
    3Alberts JDFS18116141:172439
    4JFK Ventspils18107132:161637
    5RFS 21895434:201432
    6Skanste1985626:29-329
    7Marupe1881922:25-325
    8Leevon PPK1873831:30124
    9FK Smiltene18711035:32322
    10Rezekne1856720:39-1921
    11Tukums 2000 218411323:41-1813
    12Augsdaugavas18341115:35-2013
    13AFA Olaine18231322:63-419
    14Riga FC 219151315:36-218

          Promotion ~ Virsliga
          Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
          Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
          Relegation

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