Ogre United vs Mārupe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian 1 Liga Ogre United - Mārupe
Result
3:1
18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Nakotnes liga - Round 13
Ogre United - Mārupe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 0, ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 0, ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ogre United
68.6%
Draw
18.8%
Mārupe
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 22.4% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 23.1% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ogre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ogre United's performance.
  • Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mārupe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ogre United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mārupe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ogre United - Mārupe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.63)
    4.76
    (4.03)
    7.08
    (4.07)
    11.8%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 6)
    • Ogre United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mārupe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ogre United is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ogre United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - Mārupe were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Ogre United - Mārupe 3:0
    06.07.2024 Mārupe - Ogre United 3:2
    Latest results of Ogre United
    05.07.2025 Skanstes - Ogre United 2:1
    28.06.2025 Ogre United - Riga 2 1:0
    15.06.2025 JDFS Alberts - Ogre United 2:2
    31.05.2025 Valmiera - Ogre United 4:3
    24.05.2025 Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United 3:1
    Latest results of Mārupe
    13.07.2025 Mārupe - Metta LU 1:4
    05.07.2025 Mārupe - JFK Ventspils 1:2
    29.06.2025 Olaine - Mārupe 1:4
    21.06.2025 Riga United - Mārupe 0:3
    14.06.2025 Mārupe - Leevon PPK 1:0
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga Mariners1392237:162129
    2Alberts JDFS1384130:111928
    3JFK Ventspils1376020:11927
    4Ogre United1382332:161626
    5RFS 21364325:17822
    6Skanste1354417:19-219
    7Marupe1361617:14319
    8Leevon PPK1353523:19418
    9FK Smiltene1351725:23216
    10Rezekne1343616:33-1715
    11Tukums 2000 21331913:26-1310
    12Augsdaugavas132389:26-179
    13AFA Olaine1322918:37-198
    14Riga FC 21314812:26-147

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