Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Nakotnes liga - Round 12
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Bojaruns V. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Liepajnieks V. ⚽,
- 44', Essennouni Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 45+3', Korolcuks R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 2, Solomonovs N. ⚽,
- 60', Solomonovs N. ↓, Dembele M. ↑,
- 66', Zarovs N. ↓, Komorovskis K. ↑,
- 67', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
- 83', Oliynyk M. ↓, Garais P. ↑,
- 84', Bojaruns V. ↓, Lengvenis M. ↑,
- 90', Korolcuks R. ↓, Zags T. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Strauss G. ⚽,
- 90+6', Krievins R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mārupe
38.5% | Draw
25.5% | JFK Ventspils
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)JFK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mārupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Mārupe - JFK Ventspils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.12) |
3.52 ↓
(3.75) |
2.5 ↓
(2.75) |
11.4%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3).
- Mārupe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- JFK Ventspils is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- JFK Ventspils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mārupe won against JFK Ventspils?
Mārupe has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JFK Ventspils won against Mārupe?
JFK Ventspils has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - JFK Ventspils were as follows:
15.09.2024
JFK Ventspils
-
Mārupe
2:3
11.05.2024
Mārupe
-
JFK Ventspils
1:0
Latest results of JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alberts JDFS | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 28:7 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | JFK Ventspils | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 33:14 | 19 | 26 |
| 4 | Ogre United | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 29:15 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Marupe | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Leevon PPK | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Smiltene | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanste | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Rezekne | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:30 | -14 | 15 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Augsdaugavas | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 6 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15:37 | -22 | 5 |
| 14 | Riga FC 2 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Virsliga
Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Mārupe - JFK Ventspils?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
