Result
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7
- Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)
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Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
40.3% | Draw
30.4% | Birkirkara
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.31) |
3.02 ↑
(3) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
9.1%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Marsaxlokk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marsaxlokk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Birkirkara?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Marsaxlokk?
Birkirkara has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara were as follows:
27.04.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
08.03.2025
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
1:1
29.08.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:2
09.03.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Birkirkara
0:0
04.11.2023
Birkirkara
-
Marsaxlokk
0:2
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Birkirkara
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Hibernians | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Valletta | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Sliema | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Zabbar | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Tarxien | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Mosta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
| 11 | Gzira | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 12 | Naxxar | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
