Result
29/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals
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Chances of winning
Marketa Vondrousova
49.6% | Jasmine Paolini
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marketa Vondrousova's performance.Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marketa Vondrousova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.21) |
|
1.89 ↑
(1.68) |
4.6%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Vondrousova will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Paolini will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vondrousova: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vondrousova (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 60. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
- In recent matches, Vondrousova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paolini is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Paolini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vondrousova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Marketa Vondrousova won against Jasmine Paolini?
Marketa Vondrousova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Marketa Vondrousova?
Jasmine Paolini has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
Latest results of Marketa Vondrousova
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.) | Kudermetova P. | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Jacquemot E. | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Marino R. (Q) | Fernandez L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mertens E. (19) | Ahn A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sun L. | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bucsa C. | Liu C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Eala A. | Tauson C. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (9) | Pareja J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bronzetti L. | Valentova T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Raducanu E. | Shibahara E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Tjen J. (Q) | Kudermetova V. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Kessler M. (32) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Selekhmeteva O. (Q) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Sasnovich A. | Jovic I. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Aiava D. (Q) | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (4) | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Starodubtseva Y. | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Azarenka V. | Inoue H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Yastremska D. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Samsonova L. (17) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Jeanjean L. | Hon P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Li A. | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Zhang S. (Q) | Bencic B. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Navarro E. (10) | Wang Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Teichmann J. | McNally C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Uchijima M. | Danilovic O. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Krejcikova B. | Mboko V. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Wang Xiy. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Townsend T. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Potapova A. | Zhu L. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Parks A. | Andreeva M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Keys M. (6) | Zarazua R. | 1 : 2 |
| 34 | Kvitova P. | Parry D. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Volynets K. (Q) | Sonmez Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Boulter K. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Noskova L. (21) | Galfi D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 38 | Jones F. (Q) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Cirstea S. | Sierra S. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Williams V. (WC) | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 41 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 42 | Rakhimova K. | Garcia C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Baptiste H. | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Minnen G. | Osaka N. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 45 | Frech M. (28) | Gibson T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 46 | Semenistaja D. (Q) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Vekic D. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Tomljanovic A. | Gauff C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 49 | Anisimova A. (8) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 50 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Collins D. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Krueger A. | Kenin S. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 53 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Kartal S. | 2 : 1 |
| 54 | Boisson L. | Golubic V. | 1 : 2 |
| 55 | Sakkari M. | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bondar A. | Svitolina E. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 57 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | Dolehide C. | Wang Xin. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | Zakharova A. | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Siegemund L. | Shnaider D. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 61 | Kalinskaya A. (29) | Ngounoue C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 62 | Putintseva Y. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Lamens S. | Glozman V. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Arango E. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jacquemot E. | Fernandez L. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mertens E. (19) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bucsa C. | Eala A. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (9) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Raducanu E. | Tjen J. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kessler M. (32) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Jovic I. | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (4) | Blinkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Azarenka V. | Pavlyuchenkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Samsonova L. (17) | Hon P. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Li A. | Bencic B. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Navarro E. (10) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Uchijima M. | Krejcikova B. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Ostapenko J. (25) | Townsend T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Potapova A. | Andreeva M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Zarazua R. | Parry D. | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Sonmez Z. | Kostyuk M. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Noskova L. (21) | Lys E. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Cirstea S. | Muchova K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Baptiste H. | Osaka N. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Frech M. (28) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Vekic D. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Anisimova A. (8) | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Cristian J. | Krueger A. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Golubic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Sakkari M. | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Zakharova A. | Siegemund L. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Kalinskaya A. (29) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Lamens S. | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Fernandez L. (31) | |
| 2 | Mertens E. (19) | Bucsa C. | |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (9) | Raducanu E. | |
| 4 | Vondrousova M. | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 5 | Pegula J. (4) | Azarenka V. | |
| 6 | Hon P. | Li A. | |
| 7 | Navarro E. (10) | Krejcikova B. | |
| 8 | Townsend T. | Andreeva M. (5) | |
| 9 | Parry D. | Kostyuk M. (27) | |
| 10 | Noskova L. (21) | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 11 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Osaka N. (23) | |
| 12 | Frech M. (28) | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 13 | Anisimova A. (8) | Cristian J. | |
| 14 | Haddad Maia B. (18) | Sakkari M. | |
| 15 | Alexandrova E. (13) | Siegemund L. | |
| 16 | Kalinskaya A. (29) | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
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