Maringá vs Caxias: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie C Maringá - Caxias
Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 19
Maringá - Caxias - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
103
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Maranhao ,
  • 14', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
  • 38', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lorran , Taua ,
  • 46', Pedro Cuiaba , Kelvyn ,
  • 46', Calyson , Igor Torres ,
  • 47', Taua 🟨,
  • 52', Max Miller 🟨,
  • 63', Taua 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Edison Negueba ,
  • 68', Tomas Bastos , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 69', Max Miller , Caua Tavares ,
  • 74', Douglas Skilo , Faria Giequelin L. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Maranhao ,
  • 79', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 81', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 81', Ze Vitor , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 81', Danielzinho , Parrudo ,
  • 81', Maranhao , Julio Rodrigues ,
  • 84', Ronald Carvalho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 86', Julio Rodrigues 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maringá
52.4%
Draw
28.6%
Caxias
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 26.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 28.8% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Maringá - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.74)
    3.35
    (3.43)
    5.06
    (4.39)
    4.4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Maringá - Caxias?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Caxias (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    • In recent matches, Maringá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Maringá is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maringá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    Latest results of Maringá
    24.08.2025 Itabaiana - Maringá 2:2
    16.08.2025 Maringá - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    11.08.2025 Figueirense - Maringá 1:1
    03.08.2025 Maringá - Floresta 1:1
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    Latest results of Caxias
    23.08.2025 Caxias - Brusque 0:1
    18.08.2025 Tombense - Caxias 0:0
    09.08.2025 Caxias - ABC 1:0
    03.08.2025 Ypiranga - Caxias 0:1
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias ✔ 19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta ✔ 19113520:16436
    3Nautico ✔ 19106325:71836
    4Londrina ✔ 1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo ✔ 1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Maringá - Caxias?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping
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