Aparecidense vs Maricá: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Aparecidense - Maricá
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Aparecidense - Maricá - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
14
Total shots
85
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
14
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 1, ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Joao Marcos ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Pablo Thomaz ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
61.2%
Draw
24.3%
Maricá
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 28% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 26.5% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
  • Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Aparecidense - Maricá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.69)
    3.77
    (3.25)
    6.29
    (5)
    9.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • Aparecidense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Maricá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aparecidense is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Maricá were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Maricá - Aparecidense 1:2
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    02.08.2025 Maricá - Aparecidense 1:2
    19.07.2025 Mixto - Aparecidense 0:0
    12.07.2025 Aparecidense - Goianésia 2:1
    05.07.2025 Aparecidense - Porto Velho 7:0
    Latest results of Maricá
    02.08.2025 Maricá - Aparecidense 1:2
    30.07.2025 Petrópolis - Maricá 0:3
    26.07.2025 Rio Branco AC ES - Maricá 3:0
    19.07.2025 Maricá - Portuguesa 0:1
    12.07.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Maricá 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1
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