Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:2
23/04/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals
Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
57%70%
1st serve points won
65% (20/31)60% (29/48)
2nd serve points won
26% (6/23)67% (14/21)
Break Points Saved
5/91/3
1st return points won
40% (19/48)39% (12/31)
2nd return points won
33% (7/21)74% (17/23)
Break Points Converted
2/34/9
Winners
1412
Unforced errors
3521
Net points won
83% (5/6)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
47% (25/53)62% (43/69)
Return Points Won
38% (26/69)53% (28/53)
Total Points Won
42% (51/122)58% (71/122)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Nuno Borges
38.1%
Mariano Navone
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuno Borges, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.48)

    1.55
    (1.6)
    4.2%
    (2.8%)
    What is the prediction for Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone?
    • Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Borges is ranked ATP: 49. Navone is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Recent performances by Borges have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Navone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Borges may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Navone could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borges won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone were as follows:
    07.01.2025 Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges 1:2
    28.07.2024 Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges 2:0
    Latest results of Nuno Borges
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.1 : 2
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 0
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)0 : 2
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)2 : 0
    2Kopriva V.Jodar R.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)0 : 2
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)2 : 0
    5Tsitsipas S.Ruud C. (12)1 : 2
    6Cerundolo F. (16)Blockx A.0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (7)Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    8Mensik J. (23)Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Jodar R.2 : 0
    2Fils A. (21)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (12)Blockx A.0 : 2
    4Cobolli F. (10)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Fils A. (21)2 : 0
    2Blockx A.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0
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