Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Umag Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli
Result
0:2
22/07/2024 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals
Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
74%45%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (23/39)74% (20/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (7/14)64% (21/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
33% (9/27)46% (18/39)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (12/33)50% (7/14)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)50% (3/6)
Winners
516
Unforced Errors
1710
Net Points Won
31% (4/13)58% (7/12)
Max Points In Row
65
Service Points Won
54% (28/52)68% (41/60)
Return Points Won
32% (19/60)46% (24/52)
Total Points Won
42% (47/112)58% (65/112)
Max Games In Row
13
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
45.4%
Flavio Cobolli
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.
  • Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flavio Cobolli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.78)

    1.75
    (2.02)
    5%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Cobolli will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 62.2%90.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Cobolli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Flavio Cobolli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Mikrut L. (WC)2 : 0
    3Shevchenko A.Marozsan F.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Machac T. (7)2 : 1
    5Cerundolo F. (4)Bye
    6Couacaud E. (Q)Dodig M. (WC)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (WC)Sonego L.1 : 2
    8Muller A. (Alt)Arnaldi M. (8)2 : 0
    9Darderi L. (5)Ajdukovic D. (SE)2 : 0
    10Mensik J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    11van Assche L.Fognini F.0 : 2
    12ByeTseng C. H. (LL)
    13Navone M. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    14Misolic F. (Q)Lajovic D.1 : 2
    15Trungelliti M. (Q)Andreozzi G. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    2Marozsan F.Monteiro T.2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F. (4)Dodig M.2 : 0
    4Sonego L.Muller A.2 : 0
    5Darderi L. (5)Mensik J.0 : 2
    6Fognini F.Tseng C. H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F.Lajovic D.0 : 2
    8Trungelliti M.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Sonego L.2 : 1
    3Mensik J.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Lajovic D.Musetti L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    2Mensik J.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (4)Musetti L. (2)2 : 1
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