Mariano Kestelboim vs Lautaro Midon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Villa Maria Challenger Men Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon
Result
2:1
18/09/2025 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/8-finals
Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
69%51%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (33/58)72% (31/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)40% (17/42)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (12/43)43% (25/58)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (25/42)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
56% (47/84)56% (48/85)
Return Points Won
44% (37/85)44% (37/84)
Total Points Won
50% (84/169)50% (85/169)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
54% (14/26)46% (12/26)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
28.4%
Lautaro Midon
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.33)

    1.3
    (1.31)
    7.9%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 436. Midon is ranked ATP: 262.
    • In recent matches, Kestelboim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Midon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Kestelboim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Midon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Midon will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kestelboim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Lautaro Midon - Mariano Kestelboim 2:0
    02.03.2025 Lautaro Midon - Mariano Kestelboim 2:0
    20.02.2025 Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon 2:1
    Latest results of Mariano Kestelboim
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    2Varillas J. P.De La Fuente S. (Q)2 : 0
    3Boscardin Dias P.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    4Jones M.Reis Da Silva J. (8)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (3)Rodriguez L. J. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Soto M.Zarate C. M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Justo G. I.Torres J. B. (WC)2 : 1
    8Dellien Velasco M. A.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 1
    9Bueno G. (6)Collarini A.1 : 2
    10Ambrogi L. E.Bagnis F. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kicker N.Casanova H. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cavallo F. (WC)Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    13Barrena A. (7)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Falabella L. A. (Q)La Serna J. M. (WC)0 : 2
    15Juarez F. (Q)Kestelboim M. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Midon L.Dellien H. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Jones M.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (3)Soto M.2 : 0
    4Justo G. I.Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    5Collarini A.Bagnis F. (WO.)
    6Casanova H.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    7Barrena A. (7)La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    8Kestelboim M.Midon L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    2Maestrelli F. (3)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    3Bagnis F.Gomez F. A. (4)
    4Barrena A. (7)Kestelboim M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.
    2TBD #3Barrena A. (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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