Mariano Kestelboim vs Joel Schwaerzler: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Hagen Challenger Men Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler
Result
1:2
29/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals
Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
89
Double Faults
47
1st Serve Percentage
66%58%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (48/67)72% (41/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (17/34)57% (24/42)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/57)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (18/42)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)33% (2/6)
Winners
3140
Unforced Errors
3449
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
64% (65/101)66% (65/99)
Return Points Won
34% (34/99)36% (36/101)
Total Points Won
50% (99/200)51% (101/200)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
30.6%
Joel Schwaerzler
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.2)

    1.34
    (1.31)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 395. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Schwaerzler is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Mikrut L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Engel J.Masur D. (WC)0 : 2
    3Blanch D. (LL)Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Villanueva G. (Q)Den Ouden G. (6)0 : 2
    5Kym J. (4)Coppejans K.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Cecchinato M. (Alt)0 : 2
    7Sanchez Jover C.Nagal S. (Alt)0 : 2
    8McDonald N. (WC)Rodionov J. (9)2 : 0
    9Choinski J. (5)Giustino L.2 : 1
    10Popko D.Matusevich A. (Q)2 : 1
    11Skatov T.Donski A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Hara Friend J. D. (CO)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
    13Hassan B. (8)Tabur C.0 : 2
    14Wallin O. (Q)Schoenhaus M. (WC)2 : 0
    15Kestelboim M. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)1 : 2
    16Midon L.Gaubas V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Masur D.
    2Negritu Ch.Den Ouden G. (6)
    3Kym J. (4)Cecchinato M.
    4Nagal S.McDonald N.
    5Choinski J. (5)Popko D.
    6Skatov T.Hanfmann Y. (3)
    7Tabur C.Wallin O.
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Gaubas V. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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