Result
1:2
06/05/2026 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (29/49) | 63% (35/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 52% (17/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/13 | 2/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 43% (21/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 59% (20/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/6 | 7/13 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (42/83) | 58% (52/89) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (37/89) | 49% (41/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (79/172) | 54% (93/172) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 63% (17/27) |
Chances of winning
Lilli Tagger
40% | Maria Sakkari
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilli Tagger that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Sakkari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.52) |
|
1.58 ↑
(1.47) |
5.5%
(7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari?
- Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tagger will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sakkari will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakkari: 29.6% – 90.4%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maria Sakkari will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Tagger is ranked WTA: 92. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 47.
- Tagger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sakkari is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sakkari might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tagger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lilli Tagger won against Maria Sakkari?
Lilli Tagger has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maria Sakkari won against Lilli Tagger?
Maria Sakkari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari were as follows:
07.03.2026
Maria Sakkari
-
Lilli Tagger
2:0
Latest results of Lilli Tagger
Latest results of Maria Sakkari
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Krejcikova B. | Jacquemot E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Linette M. | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Cirstea S. (26) | |
| 5 | Tauson C. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Marcinko P. | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zakharova A. | Yastremska D. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Noskova L. (13) | |
| 9 | Bencic B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Kenin S. | Andreescu B. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Siniakova K. | Boisson L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (22) | |
| 13 | Bucsa C. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bondar A. | Zheng Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Stefanini L. (WC) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruse G. (LL) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Putintseva Y. | Valentova T. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Sierra S. | Korpatsch T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Kalinina A. (Q) | |
| 21 | Bouzkova M. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Townsend T. (Q) | Brancaccio N. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Kessler M. | Bronzetti L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Jovic I. (16) | |
| 25 | Paolini J. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Jeanjean L. (Q) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Udvardy P. | Korneeva A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Mertens E. (21) | |
| 29 | Joint M. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Golubic V. | Urgesi F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Ruzic A. | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Andreeva M. (8) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Sonmez Z. | Ruggeri J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Selekhmeteva O. | Masarova R. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Fernandez L. (25) | |
| 37 | Samsonova L. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Li A. | Zhang S. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Galfi D. (Q) | Potapova A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 41 | Osaka N. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Boulter K. | Lys E. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Trevisan M. (WC) | Gibson T. | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Shnaider D. (19) | |
| 45 | Navarro E. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Cocciaretto E. | Kraus S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | McNally C. | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 49 | Svitolina E. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Basiletti N. (Q) | Tomljanovic A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Starodubtseva Y. | Waltert S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Baptiste H. (32) | |
| 53 | Keys M. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Stearns P. | Tjen J. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Pigato L. (WC) | Grant T. C. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Bartunkova N. (LL) | |
| 57 | Alexandrova E. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Siegemund L. | Bejlek S. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Pliskova Ka. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Cristian J. (33) | |
| 61 | Wang Xin. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | Eala A. | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Tagger L. (LL) | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Rybakina E. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Maria T. | Cirstea S. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tauson C. (RET.) (18) | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Zakharova A. | Noskova L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bencic B. (12) | Andreescu B. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Siniakova K. | Kalinskaya A. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Bucsa C. (30) | Zheng Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ostapenko J. | Ruse G. | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Sierra S. | Kalinina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bouzkova M. (24) | Townsend T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kessler M. | Jovic I. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paolini J. (9) | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Udvardy P. | Mertens E. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Joint M. (29) | Golubic V. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Ruzic A. | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Sonmez Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Masarova R. | Fernandez L. (25) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Samsonova L. (20) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Potapova A. | Muchova K. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Osaka N. (15) | Lys E. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Gibson T. | Shnaider D. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Navarro E. (28) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | McNally C. | Swiatek I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Svitolina E. (7) | Basiletti N. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Waltert S. | Baptiste H. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Keys M. (17) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Grant T. C. | Bartunkova N. | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Alexandrova E. (14) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Pliskova Ka. | Cristian J. (33) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Wang Xin. (31) | Eala A. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Sakkari M. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Cirstea S. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Oliynykova O. | Noskova L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Bencic B. (12) | Kalinskaya A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zheng Q. | Ostapenko J. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Sierra S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Townsend T. | Jovic I. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paolini J. (9) | Mertens E. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Golubic V. | Andreeva M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (5) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Samsonova L. (20) | Potapova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Osaka N. (15) | Shnaider D. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Cocciaretto E. | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (7) | Baptiste H. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Keys M. (17) | Bartunkova N. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Siegemund L. | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Eala A. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cirstea S. (26) | Noskova L. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kalinskaya A. (22) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Jovic I. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Mertens E. (21) | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (5) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Osaka N. (15) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (7) | Bartunkova N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pliskova Ka. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cirstea S. (26) | Ostapenko J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Andreeva M. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (5) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (7) | Rybakina E. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cirstea S. (26) | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (4) | Svitolina E. (7) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Gauff C. (3) | Svitolina E. (7) | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Lilli Tagger - Maria Sakkari?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 2, Stan Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 France | beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
